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Meetings

AGU Fall Meeting 2021

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Event Date
Monday, December 13, 2021 at 8:00am - Friday, December 17, 2021 at 5:00pm
Description

"AGU Fall Meeting is the primary gathering for Earth and space scientists, students, and those in affiliated fields to share scientific findings and identify innovative solutions. With in-person and worldwide online participation, attendees will have numerous opportunities to network with government regulators, scientific visionaries, and industry thought-leaders. Join our diverse community in New Orleans and Online Everywhere."

The Fall Meeting is scheduled from December 13 to 17, both online and in New Orleans. Scientific program content will be available on-demand, with pre-recorded oral presentations and virtual posters available for attendees to view and peruse outside of the scheduled live Q&A sessions during the meeting. 

 

AGU Town Halls of Interest

Funding Program Area(s)
ESMD RGMA MSD

Monday, December 13

Modeling of the Cryosphere: Glaciers and Ice Sheets I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral C11A-04. Modeling Ice-shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v2, a Variable Resolution, Global, Coupled Climate Model Darin Comeau ; Xylar Asay-Davis ; Alice Barthel ; Carolyn Branecky Begeman ; Matthew J Hoffman ; Wuyin Lin ; Mark R Petersen ; Stephen Price ; Andrew Roberts ; Milena Veneziani ; Jonathan Wolfe 6:17am; Convention Center - Room 211-213
MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC11B-02. Human and Physical Systems Interactions in the Arctic: Early Results from the Interdisciplinary Research for Arctic Coastal Environments 8:10am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC11B-04. Coevolution of future water, energy and land systems across the United States in response to national and global socioeconomic, climate, and energy policy drivers. 8:20am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Extratropical and High-Latitude Storm Tracks, Circulation Dynamics, and Extreme Events in the Context of Rapidly Changing Arctic and Antarctic Climate II Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral A12F-07. Flavors of Antarctic atmospheric rivers and the modes of variability that matter Christine Shields ; Michelle Maclennan ; Jonathan Wille ; Irina Gorodetskaya ; Jan Lenaerts ; Allison Collow 8:15am; Convention Center - Room 283-285
Bridging the Gap From Climate to Extreme Weather: Observations, Theory, and Modeling I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral A12D-02. Detection and Attribution of Regional Precipitation Change with Granger Causality: Overcoming Limited Observations, Modeling Uncertainty, and Large Internal Variability 9:50am; Convention Center - Room 278-279
MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations II Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC12B-01. Characterizing Deep Uncertainties is Crucial to Improving Climate Risk Management Klaus Keller 9:50am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC12B-05. Characterizing Uncertainties in the Crop Switching Decision Problem for U.S. Agriculture David Conway Lafferty ; Ryan Sriver 10:10am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Advances in Understanding Water-Energy-Carbon Interactions I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral B12B-07. CO2 fertilization effect on photosynthesis inferred from observations using optimization theories Chi Chen ; Trevor Keenan ; William Riley ; Iain Colin Prentice 10:20am; Convention Center - Room 231-232
Causes and Consequences of Polar Amplification I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral A13E-06. Poleward heat transport from sea ice loss and tropical warming in the earth system model hierarchy Alexandre Audette ; Paul Kushner 11:15am; Convention Center - Room 278-279
Monday, December 13 Oral A13E-05. Understanding the Cold Season Arctic Surface Warming Trend in Recent Decades Hailong Wang ; Rudong Zhang ; Qiang Fu ; Philip Rasch ; Mingxuan Wu ; Wieslaw Maslowski 1:10pm; Convention Center - Room 278-279
Monday, December 13 Oral A13E-10. A perspective on the role of ocean in Arctic Amplification Wieslaw Maslowski ; Younjoo Lee ; Robert Osinski ; Jaclyn L Clement Kinney ; Matthew Watts ; Anthony Craig 1:35pm; Convention Center - Room 278-279
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I 6th Assessment Report: “Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis”
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-03. Chapter 3: Human influence on the climate system Paul James Durack ; Veronika Eyring ; Nathan Gillett ; Krishna M Achutarao ; Rondrotiana Barimalala ; Marcelo Barreiro ; Nicolas Bellouin ; Christophe Cassou ; Yu Kosaka ; Shayne McGregor ; Seung-Ki Min ; Olaf Morgenstern ; Ying Sun ; Lisa Bock ; Elizaveta Malinina 11:15am; Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-05. Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks Charles Koven ; Josep Gili Canadell ; Pedro M. S. Monteiro ; Marcos Heil Costa ; Leticia Cotrim da Cunha ; Peter Michael Cox ; Alexey V Eliseev ; Stephanie Henson ; Masao Ishii ; Sam Jaccard ; Annalea Lohila ; Prabir Kumar Patra ; Shilong Piao ; Stephen Syampungani ; Sönke Zaehle ; Kirsten Zickfeld ; Alice Dolaine Lebehot 1:45pm; Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-06. Short-Lived Climate Forcers 2:00pm; Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-11. Chapter 11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate 3:45pm; Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
Causes and Consequences of Polar Amplification II Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral A14E-03. Examining Connections between Winter Mid-tropospheric Arctic Warming and the Siberian High in newly available Large Ensembles Gudrun Magnusdottir ; Yannick Peings ; Ting-Wei Hsieh 12:45pm; Convention Center - Room 278-279
Monday, December 13 Oral A14E-05. Comparing the influence of Barents-Kara sea ice loss and Ural blocking events on the winter climate variability Yannick Peings ; Paolo Davini ; Gudrun Magnusdottir 12:55pm; Convention Center - Room 278-279
AI in Weather and Climate Modeling: From Theoretical Advances to Operational Use I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited A14C-07. Machine Learning-Based Feature Detection to Associate Precipitation Extremes with Synoptic Weather Events Katherine Dagon ; John Truesdale ; James Clark Biard ; Kenneth Kunkel ; Gerald Meehl ; Maria J Molina ; Julie Caron 1:01pm; Convention Center - Room 283-285
MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations III Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral GC13B-05. Adaptation of Shipping Patterns in the Arctic: Modeling the Choice of Routing through a Changing Arctic Coastal Environments 1:10pm; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Advances in Understanding Climate, Vegetation, Soil, Topographic, Precipitation Processes, and Their Subgrid-Scale Parameterization at the Watershed and Larger Scales III Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral H13A-07. A unified functional relationship between catchment water balance and vegetation productivity Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu ; Hong-Yi Li ; Jack Brookshire ; Jinyun Tang ; Chonggang Xu ; Nathan McDowell ; L. Ruby Leung 1:15pm; Convention Center - Room 243-245
Constraining Greenhouse Gas Exchange Processes Using Remote Sensing and in Situ Observations III Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15K-1790. Joint CO2 Mole Fraction and Flux Analysis Confirms Missing Processes in CASA Terrestrial Carbon Uptake over North America Sha Feng ; Thomas Lauvax ; Christopher A Williams ; Kenneth J Davis ; Yu Zhou ; Ian T Baker ; Zachary Barkley ; Daniel Wesloh 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Extratropical Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Variability II Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15M-1828. The Competition between Cloud Radiative Heating and Latent Heating for Zonal Wind Variability and Forced Response Samuel J Smith ; Jian Lu ; Paul W Staten 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations V Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0734. Can property level flood losses be reliably predicted? Adam Pollack ; Ian Sue Wing ; Nicholas Pinter ; Kathleen Schaefer ; Christoph Nolte 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0739. Exploring Surface-Groundwater Interactions and their Implications for Water Scarcity Stephen Ferencz ; Vincent Carroll Tidwell 2:00pm - 4:00pm
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0735. Exploring the consistency of inferred water shortage vulnerabilities using rival framings of adaptive demands in a multi-actor, multi-sector river basin 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0740. Addressing uncertainty in MultiSector Dynamics research: an eBook guide for novice and experienced modelers 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0748. Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields Ryan Sriver ; David Conway Lafferty ; Iman Haqiqi ; Thomas W Hertel ; Klaus Keller ; Robert Nicholas 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations IV Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC14B-01. From storylines to anthologies – Systematically examining the implications of climate change on known weather extremes and their multisectoral impacts 2:35pm; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC14B-07. Improving Urban Form Predictions to Improve Urban Microclimate Models. 3:05pm; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC14B-08. Assessing Current, Compounding, and Co-Evolving Risks Across Multiple Systems and Sectors: A Triage-based Visualization Platform C Adam Schlosser ; Shelli Orzach ; Cypress Frankenfeld ; Xiang Gao ; Angelo Gurgel ; Alyssa McCluskey ; Jennifer F Morris ; Sergey Paltsev ; Sebastian David Eastham ; John M Reilly 3:10pm - 3:15pm
Advances in Fire Behavior Modeling I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral NH14A-04. Antecedent Hydrometeorological Conditions of Wildfire Occurrence in the Western U.S. 2:55pm; Convention Center - Room 388-390
Extreme Heat: Vulnerability and Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, and Policy Implications Regarding the Adverse Effect of Extreme Heat on Health, Economy, and Natural Resources I eLightning
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GH14B-09. Anthropogenic Heating of the Urban Environment under Extreme Heat Conditions Pouya Vahmani ; Xuan Luo ; Andrew Jones ; Tianzhen Hong 3:02pm; Convention Center - eLightning Theater VI
Humanitarian Response and Disaster Risk Management in the Age of Climate Change: The Need for Georeferenced Population and Infrastructure Data I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral NH14C-10. Population Downscaling Using High-Resolution, Temporally-Rich U.S. Property Data 3:33pm; Convention Center - Room 293
Atmospheric Aerosols and Their Interactions With Clouds, Radiation, and Climate on Regional Scale IV Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15F-1705. Examining the Roles of Biomass Burning Aerosols for Precipitation Decreases Over South America and Southeast Asia in 20th Century Earth System Model Simulations Shay Magahey ; Gabriel Kooperman 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Bridging the Gap From Climate to Extreme Weather: Observations, Theory, and Modeling II Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15H-1757. Assessing the ability of climate models to simulate unprecedented extreme events like the 2021 Western North American heat wave Ramalingam Saravanan ; Xue LIU 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster A15H-1759. Impact of Plant CO2 Physiological Forcing on Extreme Heat and Humidity Events Ashley Cornish ; Gabriel Kooperman ; Andrew Grundstein ; Christopher Skinner ; Sophia Macarewich 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Extratropical and High-Latitude Storm Tracks, Circulation Dynamics, and Extreme Events in the Context of Rapidly Changing Arctic and Antarctic Climate III Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15L-1804. Increasing Large Wildfires over the Western United States Linked to Diminishing Sea Ice in the Arctic Hailong Wang ; Yufei Zou ; Philip Rasch ; Zuowei Xie ; Rudong Zhang 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
The Resilience and Vulnerability of Arctic and Boreal Ecosystems to Climate Change VI Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster B15C-1434. Evidence for the importance of dispersal and fire on Arctic shrub expansion Yanlan Liu ; William Riley ; Trevor Keenan ; Zelalem A Mekonnen ; Jennifer Holm ; Qing Zhu ; Margaret S Torn 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advances in Understanding Water-Energy-Carbon Interactions II Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster B15D-1467. Evaluating the Influence of CO2 Plant Physiological Effects on Flood Potential in Future Climate Alana Cordak ; Gabriel Kooperman 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F

Tuesday, December 14

Accelerating Earth System Predictability: Advances in High-Performance Computing, Numerical Modeling, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral IN21A-02. High-order, property-preserving semi-Lagrangian tracer transport and physics-dynamics-grid remap in the E3SMv2 Atmosphere Model Andrew M Bradley ; Peter Bosler ; Oksana Gubs ; Walter M Hannah ; Mark Taylor 6:08am; Convention Center - Room 286-287
Drought: Mechanisms and Impacts in the Past, Present, and Future I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC21B-02. Separation of Deforestation, CO2 Physiology, and Radiative Contributions to Future Drought Stress in the Amazon Yue Li 6:10am; Convention Center - Room 203-205
Decision-Relevant Understanding of Precipitation Extremes and Their Impacts I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A21B-03. Implications of warming on western United States landfalling atmospheric rivers and their flood damages Alan Rhoades ; Mark Daniel Risser ; Dáithí Stone ; Michael F Wehner ; Andrew D Jones 6:12am - 6:17am; Convention Center - Room 280-282
Atmospheric Convection: Processes, Dynamics, and Links to Weather and Climate II Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A21A-08. A Theory for the Response of Tropical Moist Convection to Mechanical Orographic Forcing Quentin Nicolas ; William R Boos 6:35am; Convention Center - Room 294-296
Upcoming Climate Change: Insights Into Predictions, Consequences, Extreme Risks, Mitigation, and Adaptation II Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral, Invited GC22A-02. What does the CMIP6 ensemble tell us about ongoing and future changes in precipitation extremes? Alexander D Hall ; Jesse Norris ; Chad William Thackeray ; Di Chen ; Naomi L Goldenson ; Gavin Dayanga Madakumbura 7:53am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC22A-03. Examination of the accelerated rate of Arctic sea ice decline in CMIP6 historical simulations Matthew Watts ; Wieslaw Maslowski ; Younjoo Lee ; Jaclyn L Clement Kinney ; Robert Osinski 9:59am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Upcoming Climate Change: Insights Into Predictions, Consequences, Extreme Risks, Mitigation, and Adaptation I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC21A-02. Clarifying the near-term anthropogenic warming rate by filtering annual variability using a physics based Green’s function approach Bjorn Hallvard Samset ; Chen Zhou ; Jan S Fuglestvedt ; Marianne Tronstad Lund ; Jochem Marotzke ; Mark Zelinka 8:08am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Numerical Coupling of Atmospheric Processes in Current and Future Models: Challenges and Paths Forward I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A22F-06. Interpolation Semi-Lagrangian Element-Based Transport (Islet) with p-refinement for extremely high-resolution tracer transport Andrew M. Bradley ; Peter A. Bosler ; Oksana Guba ; Mark A. Taylor 8:10am - 8:14am
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A22F-08. An Error Analysis Framework for Process Coupling in Atmospheric Models Christopher Vogl ; Carol Woodward ; Hui Wan ; Vincent Larson ; Philip Rasch 10:18am; Convention Center - Room 278-279
Coastal Wetland Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles: Recent Advances in Measurements, Modeling, and Syntheses I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral B21C-03. Modeling Salinity and Flooding Impacts on Methane Production across Submerging Deltaic Wetlands Jiaze Wang ; Benjamin Sulman 8:25am; Convention Center - Room 231-232
MultiSector Dynamics: Convergent Approaches for Environmental Change, Resilience, and Society in Urban Areas I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC22D-04. Optimal Resolution Urban Terrain Inputs to Microclimate Modeling for Local Climate Decision Support 10:05am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Groundwater Response to Climate Change and Variability I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral H22C-05. Groundwater Storage during Snow Drought Events: Responses to Changing Climate over Western United States 10:05am; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater A
General Session: Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral, Invited A23E-01. Jet stream interactions with tropical circulations: the case of the North American monsoon William R Boos ; Salvatore Pascale 10:45am; Convention Center - Room 294-296
Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates II Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A23C-08. Thermodynamic and Dynamic Contributions to Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Increases in Observations and Models Alyssa M Stansfield ; Kevin Reed 1:20pm; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
General Session: Atmospheric Dynamics and Climate III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25I-1805. Understanding the Large-Scale Drivers of Precipitation in the Northeastern United States Via Linear Orthogonal Decomposition Raymond Sukhdeo ; Paul Aaron Ullrich ; Richard Grotjahn 2:00pm - 4:00pm
Numerical Coupling of Atmospheric Processes in Current and Future Models: Challenges and Paths Forward II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25N-1863. A Flexible and Modern Design for the Next Generation E3SM Atmosphere Model Aaron Sheffield Donahue ; Luca Bertagna ; Peter Martin Caldwell 2:00pm - 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25N-1859. Extreme Supersaturation in E3SMv1 and CESM2 Simulations Ross Dixon ; Shixuan Zhang ; Hui Wan ; Xubin Zeng 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25N-1860. A flexible online diagnostic tool for understanding and evaluating process interactions in the E3SM Atmosphere Model (EAM) Hui Wan ; Kai Zhang ; Philip Rasch ; Vincent Larson ; Xubin Zeng ; Shixuan Zhang ; Ross Dixon 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advances in Glacier and Ice Sheet Hydrology IV Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster C25C-0851. Characterizing changes in 21st century subglacial hydrology at Humboldt Glacier, north Greenland Abby Roat ; Trevor Hillebrand ; Matthew J Hoffman 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Upcoming Climate Change: Insights Into Predictions, Consequences, Extreme Risks, Mitigation, and Adaptation III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25C-0677. Mechanisms and Impacts of Climate Tipping Elements Seaver Wang ; Adrianna Foster ; Elizabeth Lenz ; John D Kessler ; Julienne Stroeve ; Liana O Anderson ; Merritt R Turetsky ; Richard Arthur Betts ; Sijia Zou ; Wei Liu ; William R Boos ; Zeke Hausfather 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Data and Modeling Advances Toward Sustainable Food-Energy-Water Development on a Manageable Scale II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25D-0689. Scalability of the Farmable Wetlands Program – existing program is only one piece of the puzzle in meeting nitrate reduction targets Shan Zuidema ; Wilfred M Wollheim ; Christopher J Kucharik ; Richard Lammers 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advances in Data Assimilation, Predictability, and Uncertainty Quantification III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster NG25A-0501. Hit twice by the curse of dimensionality: spatio-temporal land model calibration using Karhunen-Loève and sparse polynomial chaos expansions Khachik Sargsyan ; Daniel Ricciuto ; Cosmin Safta 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Understanding Climate Change From the Last Glacial Maximum to Present IV Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster PP25E-0960. Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Activity at the LGM Clay Tabor ; Marcus Lovferstrom ; Isabel P Montanez ; Jessica Leigh Oster ; Colin Zarzycki 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Science to Action: Decision Makers Staying Afloat Rather Than Drowning in Big Climate Data I eLightning
Tuesday, December 14 Oral SY24B-04. Ways to Navigate the Clean Energy Transition in a Changing Climate 2:39pm; Online Only
Tuesday, December 14 Oral SY24B-05. Climate-aware Decision-making: Lessons for Electric Grid Infrastructure Planning and Operations 2:42pm; Online Only
Resilience of Arctic Infrastructure and Its Social Impacts
Tuesday, December 14 Oral U24A-02. Complicating Resilience in a Global Arctic: Energy Infrastructures at a Precarious Juncture 2:55pm; Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates III Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A24B-08. Large Scale Meteorological Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation Events Over Northern California Richard Grotjahn ; Abhishekh Srivastava ; Paul Ullrich ; Alan Rhoades 3:05pm; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Atmospheric Convection: Processes, Dynamics, and Links to Weather and Climate IV Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25D-1714. Vertically-Resolved Moist Static Energy Diagnosis on the Development of Tropical Cyclones 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates IV Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25H-1782. Object-based analysis of fronts and frontal precipitation in climate datasets John Landy ; Kevin Reed ; Paul Ullrich 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability V Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25R-1910. The role and timescale of the moisture-entrainment-convection feedback in Spontaneous TC genesis 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Coastal Wetland Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles: Recent Advances in Measurements, Modeling, and Syntheses II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster B25C-1470. Representing coastal wetland vegetation responses to salinity in Earth system models Sophia LaFond-Hudson ; Benjamin Sulman ; Teri O'Meara ; Inke Forbrich ; Zoe G Cardon 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Carbon Monitoring Systems Research and Applications III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster B25G-1551. Towards robust modeling and upscaling of wetland CH4 emission using FLUXNET-CH4 dataset, remote sensing and machine learning Qing Zhu ; Kunxiaojia Yuan ; Gavin McNicol ; Min Chen ; Sara Knox ; Alison Hoyt ; William Riley 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Regional Budgets, Trends, and Drivers of Major Greenhouse Gases (N2O, CH4, and CO2) III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster B25O-04. Representing Riverine Dissolved Organic Carbon in an Earth System Model 4:00pm; Online Only
MultiSector Dynamics: Convergent Approaches for Environmental Change, Resilience, and Society in Urban Areas II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25K-0760. An Agent-based Model of Coastal Urban Development in the Greater Baltimore Region 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
MultiSector Dynamics: Energy-Water-Land Interactions at Multiple Scales II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25L-0768. A new global water management module: Distributed vs. Lumped representations 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
MultiSector Dynamics: MultiSector Impacts of Energy Transitions II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25M-0782. TELL: A Python Package for Predicting the Short- and Long-Term Evolution of Total Electricity Loads in the United States 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25M-0787. Exploring the Impact of Multisectoral and Multiscale Constraints and Opportunities on Power Plant Siting with the Capacity Expansion Regional Feasibility (CERF) Model 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25M-0789. Role of energy storage in US capacity expansion pathways with improved modeling of power sector dynamics 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Drivers and Mechanisms of Terrestrial Water Cycle Changes at Global and Regional Scales II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25P-02. Attribution of snowpack errors to simulated temperature and precipitation in four CMIP6 models over the contiguous United States Michael Brunke ; Joshua Welty ; Xubin Zeng 4:00pm; Online Only
Assessment of Hurricane Impacts on Watershed Hydrology and Water Quality Under Changing Climate Using Various Data-Model and Field Measurement Approaches I Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster H25D-1085. Machine Learning of Key Drivers of Extreme Precipitation in Various Regions of the Contiguous US Xinming Lin ; Jiwen Fan ; Jingyu Wang ; Zhangshuan Hou 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F

Lagrangian and Climatological Transitions of Warm Boundary Layer Clouds I Oral
Oral, Invited A24F-01. The Differing Responses of Marine Boundary Layer Clouds to Climate Warming Timothy Myers ; Ryan C Scott ; Mark Zelinka ; Stephen Klein ; Joel R Norris ; Peter Martin Caldwell ; Convention Center - Room 278-279

Wednesday, December 15

Advances in Climate Engineering Research I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral GC31A-01. Searching for the optimal forcing for offsetting the anthropogenic climate change effects Jian Lu ; Huiying Ren ; Zhangshuan Hou ; L. Ruby Leung ; Fukai Liu 6:05am - 6:10am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
How Stable Is the Greenland Ice Sheet? Past, Present, and Future I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral C31A-04. The potential contribution of Humboldt Glacier, North Greenland, to 21st century sea-level rise Trevor Hillebrand ; Matthew J Hoffman ; Mauro Perego ; Stephen Price ; Ian Howat 6:24am; Convention Center - Room 215-216
Dust in a Changing Climate: From Small‐Scale Insights to Large‐Scale Understanding II Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral A32B-02. Influence of High-latitude Dust on Aerosol Radiative Effects and Deposition in the DOE Earth System Model Yan Feng ; Douglas Stephen Hamilton ; Patricia Quinn ; Yuan Gao 7:55am - 8:01am
Hydrometeorologic Extremes: Prediction, Simulation, and Change II Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral H32I-04. Large EMulated ENSembles (LEMENS) Enable Robust Evaluation of Climate Impacts on Extreme Drought Events Thomas Bernard Wild ; Claudia Tebaldi ; Chris R Vernon ; Abigail Snyder ; Kalyn Dorheim ; Mohamad Issa Hejazi 8:00am - 8:05am; Online
Grains to Satellites: Sediment and Hydrological Processes Across Scales I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral, Invited EP33A-03. Fusing geospatial datasets to identify patterns and controls on Arctic coastal erosion Anastasia Piliouras ; Benjamin M Jones ; Tabatha Clevenger ; Diana L Bull ; William Karl Eymold ; William Karl Eymold ; Vladimir Alexeev ; Alec P Bennett ; Joel Rowland 10:55am; Convention Center - Room 217-219
Integrating Biological Components in Biogeochemical Models: Toward Improving Global Circulation Model Representations of Methane Emissions I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral, Invited B33B-02. Representing Explicit Microbial and Plant Process in Wetland Biogeochemical Models William Riley ; Kuang-Yu Chang ; Zhen Li ; Qing Zhu 12:56pm; Convention Center - Room 255-257
Advances in Observationally Integrated Earth System Modeling for Coastal Environments I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral OS33A-02. Sensitivity of compound flooding potential to idealized large-scale tropical cyclone environments Mithun Deb ; Zhaoqing Yang ; Ning Sun ; Karthik Balaguru ; Wenwei Xu ; Dave Judi ; Taiping Wang ; Mark Wigmosta 12:57pm; Convention Center - Room 223
Process-Oriented Analysis of Cloud and Precipitation Physics I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral A33F-06. Constraints on extratropical cloud feedback through moisture source and sink processes decrease likelihood of very high and very low climate sensitivity Daniel McCoy ; Michelle Elizabeth Frazer ; Paul Field ; Mark Zelinka ; Gregory Elsaesser ; Johannes Mulmenstadt ; Ivy Tan ; Timothy Myers ; Zachary J Lebo 1:10pm; Online Only
Advances in Urban Hydrology III Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral H34A-08. Regional-scale Urban Hydrologic Modeling over the Mid-Atlantic Region Ge Hua ; Taher Chegini ; Hong-Yi Li ; Zeli Tan ; Tian Zhou ; L. Ruby Leung 1:15pm - 1:20pm
Advances in Urban Hydrology II Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral H33A-08. Revealing the below-ground mystery: a new framework for estimating Urban Stormwater Networks across watershed, regional and larger scales 1:30pm; Convention Center - Room 243-245
Observing and Modeling of Earth Surface Cryogenic Processes and the State of Permafrost II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster C35F-0943. Analysis of the Impact of Physics Representation on Permafrost Modeling Bo Gao ; Ethan Coon 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Wednesday, December 15 Poster C35F-0929. Detecting changes in permafrost active layer thickness from baseflow recession Matthew G Cooper ; Tian Zhou ; Katrina E Bennett ; Jonathon P Schwenk ; Joel Rowland ; Ethan Coon ; W. Robert Bolton ; Sean William Fleming 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advancing Flood Characterization, Modeling, and Communication VI Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster H35H-1124. How important is model calibration for improving flood hazard characterization? Sanjib Sharma ; Benjamin Seiyon Lee ; Iman Hosseini-Shakib ; Murali Haran ; Klaus Keller 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advances in Observationally Integrated Earth System Modeling for Coastal Environments III eLightning
Wednesday, December 15 Oral OS35A-01. A unified model coupling of the land, river, and ocean models in E3SM to simulate coastal processes Gautam Bisht ; Darren Engwirda ; Dongyu Feng ; Elizabeth Hunke ; L. Ruby Leung ; Chang Liao ; Mingjie Shie ; Zeli Tan ; Donghui Xu ; Tian Zhou 2:03pm; Convention Center - eLightning Theater I
Wednesday, December 15 Oral OS35A-03. Evaluating the impact of inter-basin water transfer on Delaware Estuary salinity with the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Matthew G Cooper ; Tian Zhou ; Darren Engwirda ; Ning Sun ; Chang Liao ; Donghui Xu 4:09pm; Convention Center - eLightning Theater I
The Resilience and Vulnerability of Arctic and Boreal Ecosystems to Climate Change V eLightning
Wednesday, December 15 Oral B34D-06. Combining new advances in modeling dynamic vegetation and nutrient competition to improve boreal forest predictions to changing climate 2:50pm; Convention Center - eLightning Theater IV
General Session: Atmospheric Physics, Radiation, Clouds, and Aerosols III Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster A35K-1817. Impact of new particle formation on the anthropogenic aerosol forcing estimate in E3SM Kai Zhang ; Jian Sun ; Bin Zhao ; Guangxing Lin ; Hailong Wang ; Po-Lun Ma 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Process-Based Testing and Evaluation of Weather and Climate Models I Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster A35P-1858. Implementation and Evaluation of the triple-moment P3 microphysical scheme in E3SM Jacob Shpund ; Jiwen Fan ; Kai Zhang ; Marco Paukert ; Hugh Morrison ; Jason Milbrandt 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Process-Oriented Analysis of Cloud and Precipitation Physics II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster A35S-07. Evaluating climate models' cloud feedbacks against expert judgement Mark Zelinka ; Stephen Klein ; Yi Qin ; Timothy Myers 4:00pm; Online Only
Gas Fluxes From and Into Inland and Coastal Waters: Integrating Hydrodynamics and Biogeochemistry II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35E-1473. Validation and sensitivity analysis of lake methane dynamics in Energy Exascale Earth System Model Zeli Tan ; L. Ruby Leung ; Mingyang Guo ; Huaxia Yao ; Khachik Sargsyan 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Integrating Biological Components in Biogeochemical Models: Toward Improving Global Circulation Model Representations of Methane Emissions II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35G-1496. Functional-type modeling approach and data-driven parameterization of methane emissions in wetlands Theresia Yazbeck ; Gil Bohrer ; Qing Zhu ; William Riley 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
The Global Methane Cycle II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35H-1512. Monthly estimates of global freshwater wetland methane emissions for 2001-2018 from upscaled eddy covariance fluxes Gavin McNicol ; Etienne Fluet-chouinard ; Zutao Yang ; Benjamin Poulter ; Zhen Zhang ; Sheel Bansal ; Kyle Delwiche ; Mathias Goeckede ; Jinxun Liu ; Kuang-Yu Chang ; Sara Knox ; Joe Melton ; William Riley ; Rodrigo Vargas ; Qing Zhu ; Robert Jackson 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35H-1513. Multi-model ensemble does not fill the gaps in sparse wetland methane observations Kuang-Yu Chang ; William Riley ; Nathan Collier ; Gavin McNicol ; Etienne Fluet-chouinard ; Sara Knox ; Robert Jackson ; Benjamin Poulter ; Marielle Saunois ; Qing Zhu 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Improving the Nation’s Capacity to Understand and Respond to a Changing Coastline I Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster GC35I-0782. Convergence of Multisector Dynamics (Human) and Natural Systems in Coastal Environments 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F

Thursday, December 16

Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Change: Monitoring and Modeling Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Agroecosystems I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC41D-03. Assessing the impact of replacing corn with second generation perennial bioenergy crops in the US-Midwest. Eva Sinha ; Katherine V Calvin ; Ben P Bond-Lamberty ; Beth Drewniak ; Gautam Biasht ; Carl Bernacchi ; Bethany Blakely ; Caitlin Moore 6:10am; Online Only
CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation II Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A42A-02. How well do climate models simulate ENSO? How well do we know ENSO? Yann Yvon Planton ; Jiwoo Lee ; Andrew Thorne Wittenberg ; Antoinetta Capotondi ; Peter J Gleckler ; Eric Guilyardi ; Michael J McPhaden 7:50am; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Coupling of Clouds, Convection, and Circulation From Meso- to Planetary Scales I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A42B-02. Observed Links Between Atmospheric Cloud Radiative Effects and Mesoscale Organization of Deep Convection Ni Dai ; Hui Su ; Brian J. Soden ; J David Neelin ; Yi-Hung Kuo 7:50am - 7:55am; Convention Center - Room 283-285
Renewable Energy: Wind I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited GC41C-01. Could/will climate change impact wind energy resources? 8:05am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Modeling MultiSector Dynamics to Understand Adaptive Pathways
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited U41A-01. A Vision for the MultiSector Dynamics Research Community 8:08am; Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited U41A-03. Storylines as a tool for advancing co-production of science and informing climate adaptation pathways: A perspective from the U.S. DOE HyperFACETS Project Paul Ullrich ; Melissa S Bukovsky ; Zhe Feng ; Naomi L Goldenson ; William J Gutowski ; Alexander D Hall ; Andrew Jones ; L. Ruby Leung ; Linda Mearns ; Sara C. Pryor ; Kevin Reed ; Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang ; David Yates ; Colin Zarzycki ; Xiaodong Chen ; Lu Dong ; Brandon J Fisel ; Huancui Hu ; Jisesh Sethunadh ; Linda S Shenk ; Julia Szinai 8:48am; Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A41D-04. Differential Credibility of Climate Modes in CMIP6 8:15am; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Thursday, December 16 Oral A41D-06. Uniting Extratropical Cyclone Tracking and Self-Organizing Maps to Objectively Evaluate CMIP6 Models 8:25am; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Integrated Soil Modeling Through Machine Learning and Data Analytics I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral H42B-01. Representing global soil erosion and sediment flux in Earth System Models Zeli Tan ; L. Ruby Leung ; Hong-Yi Li ; Sagy Cohen 9:50am; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater B
Deep Learning for Climate Science and Weather Prediction I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC42A-03. Credibility Evaluation of a Convolutional Neural Net for Downscaling GCM Output over the Southern Great Plains Seth McGinnis ; Daniel Korytina ; Melissa S Bukovsky ; Rachel Rose McCrary ; Linda Mearns 10:00am; Convention Center - Room 203-205
Observation and Model Studies of Cloud Properties and Associated Processes I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited A43E-02. Infrared “Iris Effect” Leads to Strong Positive Low Cloud Feedback Hui Su ; Kathleen Schiro ; Ni Dai ; Longtao Wu ; Jonathan Jiang ; J David Neelin 10:50am; Convention Center - Room 286-287
Environmental Changes and Human Migration: Advances in Modeling and Analysis I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC43E-02. Adaptation to Human Heat Stress: The Role of Labor Migration, Economic Responses, and Land Use Changes Iman Haqiqi ; Jonathan R Buzan ; Cicero de Lima ; Thomas W Hertel 10:55am; Online Only
Coastal Hydrology: Physical and Biogeochemical Processes I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral H44B-02. Impact of coastal marsh eco-geomorphologic change on the prediction of saltwater intrusion under future sea level rise Yu Zhang ; Daniil Svyatskiy ; Joel Rowland ; John D Moulton ; Zhendong Cao ; Philip J Wolfram ; Chonggang Xu ; Donatella Pasqualini 12:35pm; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater B
Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited A43B-01. An Underestimated Negative Cloud Feedback from Cloud Lifetime Changes Johannes Mulmenstadt ; Jennifer Kay ; Marc Salzmann ; Mark Zelinka ; Po-Lun Ma ; Christine Nam ; Jan Kretzschmar ; Sabine Hörnig ; Johannes Quaas 12:45pm; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Next-Generation Water Resources Modeling: Innovation at the Intersection of Domain, Computer, and Data Sciences I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral H43D-02. Open Source and Performant Hydrological Modeling in Python: mosartwmpy, a Case Study 12:50pm; Convention Center - Room 271-273
High-Resolution Earth System Modeling on Large Supercomputers I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A43D-03. Philosophy and Progress of the Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model 12:55pm; Convention Center - Room 278-279
Accounting for Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Climate Models I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC43A-03. Spatial distribution of C3 and C4 vegetation from 2000 to 2019 in the contiguous U.S. Rongting Xu ; Daniel M Griffith ; Rebecca L. Powell ; William Riley ; Qing Zhu ; Christopher J Still 1:00pm; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC43A-06. A global land data system to provide variable high-resolution spatial products Kanishka Narayan ; Alan V Di Vittorio ; Chris Vernon 1:15pm; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Coupling of Clouds, Convection, and Circulation From Meso- to Planetary Scales II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45G-1925. Linkage between tropical deep convection and low cloud feedback in GFDL perturbed physics experiments Mengxi Wu ; Hui Su ; Ni Dai ; Leo Donner ; Charles Seman ; J David Neelin 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
High-Resolution Earth System Modeling on Large Supercomputers II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45K-1992. Evaluating the water cycle over CONUS using multiple metrics for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (E3SMv1) Across Resolutions Bryce Harrop ; Karthik Balaguru ; Jean-Christophe Golaz ; L. Ruby Leung ; Salil Mahajan ; Mathew Maltrud ; Alan Rhoades ; Paul Ullrich ; Luke Van Roekel ; Chengzhu Zhang ; Xue Zheng ; Tian Zhou ; David Bader ; Peter Martin Caldwell ; Noel Keen ; Azamat Mametjanov 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45K-1998. Improving Lake Representations in Earth System Modeling 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45K-2006. The Influence of Ocean Coupling on Simulated and Projected Tropical Cyclone Precipitation in the HighResMIP–PRIMAVERA Simulations 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Jet Stream Dynamics, Atmospheric Rossby Waves, and Associated Extreme Weather and Climate Events II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45L-2016. The Evolution Dynamical Processes of Ural Blocking Through the Lens of Local Finite-Amplitude Wave Activity Budget Analysis Mengling Wang ; Yang Zhang ; Jian Lu 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tropical Forests Under a Changing Environment III Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster B45D-1670. The Role of Terrestrial Phosphorus Limitation in Carbon Cycle-Climate Feedbacks Min Xu ; Forrest M Hoffman ; Zheng Shi 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster B45D-1655. Evaluation and Parametric Sensitivity of the Nutrient Enabled Ecosystem Model FATES-ELM at a Tropical Testbed 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Water and Society: Water Resources Management and Policy in a Changing World V Posters
Thursday, December 16 Poster H45X-1487. Inferring water scarcity vulnerabilities: do converging model representations of water systems lead to convergent insights? Antonia Hadjimichael ; James Yoon ; Patrick M Reed ; Nathalie Voisin 2:00pm - 4:00pm
Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms II Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A44B-04. On the Correspondence between Atmosphere-Only and Coupled Simulations for Radiative Feedbacks and Forcing from CO2 Yi Qin ; Mark Zelinka ; Stephen Klein 2:45pm; Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Arctic Coastal Dynamics: Rates, Impacts, Hazards, and Implications for the Future I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral C44A-07. Evaluation of Offshore Wave Climates along the Alaskan North Slope using K-means Clustering Diana L Bull ; William Karl Eymold ; Chris Flanary ; Kees Nederhoff ; Craig Alexander Jones ; Li H Erikson ; Chris Chartrand ; Jeremy Kasper 3:02pm; Convention Center - Room 225-227
Modeling Across Scales From Global to Convection-Permitting: Weather, Climate, and Air Quality II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45O-2047. How Does an Improved Representation of Convection Affect Future Air Quality in the Community Earth System Model? Alison Banks ; Gabriel Kooperman ; Yangyang Xu 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Observation and Model Studies of Cloud Properties and Associated Processes II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45Q-2082. A Storm-Resolving Data Set for Analysis of Precipitation at its Native Scale, Diagnosis of Cloud-Resolving Models, and Development of Next-Generation Parameterizations 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Understanding and Modeling of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storm Processes II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45V-2153. Climatological occurrences of hail and tornado associated with mesoscale convective systems in the United States Jingyu Wang ; Jiwen Fan ; Zhe Feng 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
New Advances in Land Carbon Cycle Modeling II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster B45G-1703. Integrating Redox and Soil Geochemical Interactions with Carbon Cycling in a Land Surface Model Benjamin Sulman ; Jiaze Wang ; Sophia LaFond-Hudson ; Teri O'Meara ; Elizabeth Herndon 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Bright STaRS: Bright Students Training as Research Scientists Poster Session I Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster ED45B-0689. Relationship Between Socioeconomic Factors and the Built Environment of a City: A Case Study of Las Vegas, Nevada 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Deep Learning for Climate Science and Weather Prediction II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45F-0868. Deep Learning Experiments for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45G-0889. Real-time attribution of anthropogenically-driven coastal flooding Philip M Orton ; Kevin Reed ; Stefan A Talke ; Daniel M. Gilford ; Luis Fernando Pareja-Roman 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Weather and Climate Models I Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0934. Detailing cloud feedbacks with a regime-based decomposition Mark Zelinka ; Ivy Tan ; Lazaros Oreopoulos ; George Tselioudis 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0937. Process-oriented diagnosis of tropical cyclones based on the moist static energy variance budget in reanalyses and high-resolution climate models Allison Wing ; Caitlin Dirkes ; Suzana J Camargo ; Daehyun Kim ; Yumin Moon 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0939. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Madden-Julian Oscillation Min-Seop Ahn ; Daehyun Kim ; Peter J Gleckler ; Jiwoo Lee 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Renewable Energy: Wind II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45M-0957. Wind power production from the U.S. east coast offshore lease areas 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advances in Modeling Hydrometeorological Extremes and Adaptation for a Resilient Society III Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster H45B-1194. Pooling Data Improves Multimodel IDF Estimates over Median-Based IDF Estimates: Analysis over the Susquehanna and Florida 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Hydrometeorologic Extremes: Prediction, Simulation, and Change IV Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster H45Z-06. Impact of tropical cyclones on hydrological extremes in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States: 1950‒2019 4:00pm; Online Only
Extreme Weather and Climate in Urban Areas, Their Social Impacts, and Mitigation II Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A43C-02. Urbanization-Induced Land Use Change Enhances Tornado Potential Jiwen Fan ; Jingyu Wang ; Yun Lin ; Cameron R Homeyer ; Yun Lin 10:50pm - 10:55pm

Friday, December 17

Compounding Climate Extremes: Mechanisms, Diagnostics, and Current and Future Impacts I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral GC51C-03. Risk of intense precipitation accompanying extreme wet-bulb temperatures Yi Zhang ; William R Boos 6:15am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Large Ensemble Climate Model Simulations as Tools for Exploring Natural Variability, Change Signals, and Impacts I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A52E-02. Physical drivers of increased interannual variability of precipitation in the Multi Model Large Ensemble Archive Jesse Norris ; Di Chen ; Chad William Thackeray ; Alexander D Hall 8:00am; Convention Center - Room 280-282
Friday, December 17 Oral A52E-07. On the robustness of the evaluation of ENSO in climate models: How many ensemble members are needed? Jiwoo Lee ; Yann Yvon Planton ; Peter J Gleckler ; Kenneth Sperber ; Eric Guilyardi ; Andrew Thorne Wittenberg ; Michael J McPhaden ; Giuliana Pallotta 8:40am; Convention Center - Room 280-282
The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons V eLightning
Friday, December 17 Oral A51H-07. A Distinct Atmospheric Mode for California Precipitation Di Chen ; Jesse Norris ; Naomi L Goldenson ; Chad William Thackeray ; Alexander D Hall 8:18am; Convention Center - eLightning Theater II
The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Waves in the Tropics: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A51G-06. Energetics of the Convectively Coupled Equatorial Kelvin waves Mu-Ting Chien ; Daehyun Kim 8:25am; Convention Center - Room 283-285
Advancing Open Science: Stewardship to Enable Cross-Disciplinary, Collaborative Science I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral IN52A-02. Ten Recommendations to Overcome Barriers to Adopting Open Science Principles 9:53am; Convention Center - Room 288-290
Social and Ecological Consequences of Recent Changes in the Arctic and Subarctic Region I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral GC52C-03. Linking Climate Change and Human Systems: A Case Study of Arctic Pipelines 10:00am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Compounding Climate Extremes: Mechanisms, Diagnostics, and Current and Future Impacts II Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral GC52A-08. The Non-Linear Response of Rain-on-snow Floods to a Warming World: Perspectives from High-Resolution Storyline Simulations 10:25am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
The Global Water Cycle: Coupling and Exchanges Between the Ocean, Land, and Atmosphere I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited GC53D-01. Investigating the emergence of salinity and temperature changes in the ocean interior in response to human-induced warming and water-cycle amplification Yona Silvy ; Jean-Baptiste Sallee ; Clement Rousset ; Gurvan Madec ; Eric Guilyardi ; Christian Ethe ; Paul James Durack 10:47am; Convention Center - Room 208-210
Light-Absorbing Carbon Aerosol From Observations and Models I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited A53D-02. Biomass Burning Aerosols in Most Climate Models Are Too Absorbing Xiaohong Liu ; Hunter Brown ; Rudra Pokhrel ; Shane Murphy ; Zheng Lu ; Rawad Saleh ; Tero Mielonen ; Harri Kokkola ; Tommi Bergman ; Gunnar Myhre ; Ragnhild B Skeie ; Duncan Watson-Parris ; Philip Stier ; Ben Thomas Johnson ; Nicolas Bellouin ; Michael Schulz ; Ville Vakkari ; Johan Paul Beukes ; Pieter G van Zyl ; Shang Liu ; Duli Chand 10:50am; Convention Center - Room 278-279
The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A53G-03. On the Diffusivity of Moist Static Energy and its Implication on the Change of Temperature Extremes under Global Warming Jian Lu ; Wenyu Zhou ; Hailu Kong ; L. Ruby Leung ; Bryce Harrop ; Fengfei Song 10:55am; Convention Center - Room 275-277
Friday, December 17 Oral A53G-04. Constraining Future Projections of Atmospheric Rivers using Moist Static Energy Transport Ankur Mahesh ; William Drew Collins 11:00am; Convention Center - Room 275-277
Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited GC53B-04. Climate Change Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Throughout Hurricane Season Kevin Reed ; Michael Wehner ; Colin Zarzycki 11:15am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Friday, December 17 Oral GC53B-05. Human and natural influences on the changes in extreme precipitation events Céline Bonfils ; Benjamin Santer ; Margot Bador ; Kate Marvel ; Stephen Po-Chedley 11:25am; Convention Center - Room 206-207
Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A53E-06. Evaluation of Dynamical Downscaling in a Fully Coupled Regional Earth System Model Mark W Seefeldt ; John J Cassano ; Younjoo Lee ; Wieslaw Maslowski ; Anthony Craig 11:25am; Convention Center - Room 280-282
Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited B54C-01. Metrics, Measurements, and Methods for Advancing Ecosystem Model Evaluation Linnia R Hawkins ; Christopher J Still ; Maoya Bassiouni ; William Anderegg ; William Riley ; David M Lawrence ; Zelalem A Mekonnen ; Rich Fiorella ; Stephen P Good ; Gabriel J Bowen 12:32pm; Convention Center - Room 231-232
Friday, December 17 Oral B54C-06. Looking under the hood: benchmarking soil organic matter pool distributions at the global-scale Katerina Georgiou ; William R Wieder ; Rose Z Abramoff ; Charles Koven ; William Riley ; Anders Ahlström ; Nicholas Bouskill ; Melannie Diane Hartman ; Derek Pierson ; Benjamin Sulman ; Qing Zhu ; Jennifer Pett-Ridge ; Robert Jackson 1:07pm; Convention Center - Room 231-232
Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts II Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A54E-02. A retrospective and prospective examination of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought. Zeyu Xue ; Paul Aaron Ullrich 12:35pm - 12:40pm
The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons II Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited A54G-06. Dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to changes in precipitation extremes in quasi-global simulations at high resolution Paul A O'Gorman ; Ziwei Li ; William R Boos ; Janni Yuval 12:55pm; Convention Center - Room 275-277
Advanced Methods for Systematic Evaluation and Improvement of Earth System Models II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster A55C-1393. Comprehensive model evaluation to maximize utility to model developers, scientists and stakeholders: Towards Coordinated Model Evaluation Capabilities Paul Ullrich ; Peter J Gleckler ; Forrest M. Hoffman ; J David Neelin ; Ana Cristina Ordonez ; Kevin Reed 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Large Ensemble Climate Model Simulations as Tools for Exploring Natural Variability, Change Signals, and Impacts III Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster A55N-1593. Influence of Natural Variability on Simulated Changes in Arctic Permafrost Killian McSweeney ; Gabriel Kooperman 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Waves in the Tropics: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction III Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1706. Large-scale convective systems identified by hybrid cloud-precipitation regimes and their modulations by MJO and QBO Daeho Jin ; Daehyun Kim ; Lazaros Oreopoulos 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1709. A proposed model intercomparison study to evaluate the role of SST variability on MJO eastward propagation in climate models Charlotte DeMott ; Steven James Woolnough ; Daehyun Kim ; Xianan Jiang ; Richard Neale 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1716. Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 Daehyun Kim ; Daehyun Kang ; Min-Seop Ahn ; Charlotte DeMott ; Chia-Wei Hsu ; Changhyun Yoo ; L. Ruby Leung ; Samson M Hagos ; Philip Rasch 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1721. Seasonal locking of the MJO’s southward detouring of Indonesia caused by the Australian monsoon Daehyun Kang ; Daehyun Kim ; Eric D Maloney 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Emergent Behavior in Terrestrial Ecosystems II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster B55F-1264. Global variation in ecosystem carbon use efficiency derived from eddy covariance observations Xiangzhong Luo ; Housen Chu ; Xinchen Lu ; Trevor Keenan 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster B55G-1273. Temporal and spatial variation in modeled carbon-climate feedbacks: implications for future global land carbon source-sink dynamics Peter Thornton ; Daniel Ricciuto ; Xiaojuan Yang ; Xiaoying Shi ; Katherine V Calvin ; Susannah M Burrows 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster B55G-1279. Impacts of the spatial heterogeneity of atmospheric CO2 concentration on carbon-climate feedbacks Sha Feng ; Susannah M Burrows ; Bryce Harrop ; Daniel Kaufman ; Katherine V Calvin 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster B55G-1280. Overview of land-atmosphere biogeochemistry developments in the E3SMv1.1-BGC model Susannah M Burrows ; Sha Feng ; Qi Tang ; Bryce E Harrop ; Daniel Kaufman ; Philip J Cameron-Smith ; Sam James Silva ; L. Ruby Leung ; Katherine V Calvin 2:00pm - 4:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster B55G-1281. GDESS: A Framework for Evaluating Simulated Atmospheric CO2 in Earth System Models Daniel Kaufman ; Sha Feng ; Katherine V Calvin ; Bryce Harrop ; Susannah M Burrows 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster B55G-1282. Diurnal rainfall response to the physiological and radiative effects of CO2 in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model v1 biogeochemistry experiments Bryce Harrop ; Susannah M Burrows ; Katherine V Calvin ; Gabriel Kooperman ; L. Ruby Leung 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Community Tools and Products for Cryosphere Discovery and Application II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster C55B-0592. CICE Consortium: Advancing Sea Ice Modeling Elizabeth Hunke 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Advancements, Gaps, and Needs in Observing, Understanding, and Modeling the High-Latitude Earth Systems II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster GC55A-0413. Modeling steric sea-level change on the Antarctic continental shelf caused by changes in ice-sheet freshwater flux Matthew J Hoffman ; Xylar Asay-Davis ; Alice Barthel ; Carolyn Branecky Begeman ; Darin Scott Comeau ; Sophie Coulson ; Darren Engwirda ; Holly Kyeore Han ; Mathew Maltrud ; Mark R Petersen ; Stephen Price ; Andrew Roberts ; Milena Veneziani ; Jonathan Wolfe 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Mid-Latitude Air-Sea Interaction and Inter-Basin Teleconnections Under Changing Climate I Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster GC55G-0494. Understanding the drivers of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using a stochastic model Glenn Liu ; Young-Oh Kwon ; Claude Frankignoul ; Jian Lu 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
The Global Water Cycle: Coupling and Exchanges Between the Ocean, Land, and Atmosphere III Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster GC55K-0544. Plants alter oceanic clouds: the land wake and its intensification by CO2-induced stomatal closure Marysa M Lague ; Gregory Quetin ; William R Boos 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Diagnostics, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Analysis of Earth and Environmental Models IV Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster H55J-0847. Key Uncertainties Differ When Characterizing Flood Hazards Versus Risks Iman Hosseini-Shakib ; Sanjib Sharma ; Vivek Srikrishnan ; Klaus Keller 2:00pm; Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models I eLightning
Friday, December 17 Oral A55A-09. An Assessment of Nonhydrostatic and Hydrostatic Dynamical Cores at Seasonal Time Scales in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1) Weiran Liu ; Paul Ullrich ; Oksana Guba ; Peter Martin Caldwell ; Noel Keen 2:24pm; Convention Center - eLightning Theater II
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