Biological and Environmental Research - Earth and Environmental System Sciences
Earth and Environmental System Modeling

Research Highlights: By Submitted Date

Oct/2021
Title
Global Agriculture Market Integration is Critical for Modeling Land Use Change
Sep/2021
Title
Global Warming Increases the Frequency of Extreme Sea Levels
Differential Credibility of Climate Modes in CMIP6 ESM
Increasing Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Accuracy with a Deep-Learning-Based Model
Aug/2021
Title
Retrospective and Prospective Examinations of the 1960s U.S. Northeast Drought
Comprehensive Intermediate-Term Drought Evaluation of Climate Datasets over the Conterminous US
Global Vulnerability of Crop Yields to Climate Change
How Well Do U.S. Western Water Markets Convey Economic Information?
Come Hell or High-Water: Challenges for Adapting Pacific Northwest Water Law
The FLOod Probability Interpolation Tool (FLOPIT): A Simple Tool to Improve Spatial Flood Probability Quantification and Communication
Market Expectations of a Warming Climate
Coordination and Control – Limits in Standard Representations of Multi-Reservoir Operations in Hydrological Modeling
Interplay of Changing Irrigation Technologies and Water Reuse: Example from the Upper Snake River Basin, Idaho, USA
The Impact of Water Access on Short-Term Migration in Rural India
On Choosing the Resolution of Normative Models
A Fast Particle-based Approach for Calibrating a 3-D Model of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Quantifying the Impacts of Compound Extremes on Agriculture
River Regulation Alleviates Thermoelectric Power Loss Induced by Warming
Impacts of the Morphology of New Neighborhoods on Microclimate and Building Energy Use
Urban Scaling as Validation for Predictions of Imperviousness
SIMPLE-G: A Multiscale Framework for Integration of Economic and Biophysical Determinants of Sustainability
Small Increases in Agent-Based Model Complexity Can Result in Large Increases in Required Calibration Data
Mesoscale Convective Systems Cause Most Warm-Season Floods in the Central-Eastern U.S.
Jul/2021
Title
Low-Level Jets: Detection & Characterization
Intense Windstorms in the Northeastern United States
Using Explainable AI to Understand Key Wildfire Controls
Jun/2021
Title
A Distinct Atmospheric Mode for California Precipitation
Uniform Ocean Warming Dominates Wet California Winters
May/2021
Title
Pooling Data Improves Multimodel IDF Estimates over Median-Based IDF Estimates: Analysis over the Susquehanna and Florida
Contrasting Responses of Mountain Snowpack to Warmer Sea Surfaces
Implications of Warming on Western United States Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers and Their Flood Damages
Metrics for Evaluating Tropical Cyclones in Climate Data
Meteorological Conditions Influence the Size and Occurrence of California Wildfires
Apr/2021
Title
Corrected Models Project Drier Winters for Mediterranean Climate Regions
Changing Interests in Arctic Oil and Gas Development
Mar/2021
Title
Evaluating the Economic Impact of Water Scarcity in a Changing World
Assessing the Future of Global Energy-for-Water
Making a Simple Climate Model More Accessible Through Online Visualization
Impacts of Long-Term Temperature Changes on Electricity Investments
A New Framework for Evaluating Model-Based Energy Scenarios
Feb/2021
Title
Extreme Wind & Waves Aalong the U.S East Coast
Digital Atlas of Extreme Wind Speeds
City-Scale Building Anthropogenic Heating during Heat Waves
A New Lens for Examining Storms in Climate Models
Jan/2021
Title
A Quantitative Method to Describe Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) in Climate Models
A New Global Land Use Dataset for Advancing Earth System Science
Dec/2020
Title
Grid Vulnerability and Resilience to Climate Change Associated with Regional Interconnections
Variability in Wind Power Generation
Improvements to Central U.S. Precipitation Simulations with Higher-Resolution Modeling
Evaluating Cross-Sectoral Impacts of Climate Change and Adaptions on the Energy-Water Nexus
A Quantitative Method to Decompose SWE Differences Between Regional Climate Models and Reanalysis Datasets
Using a Simple Climate Model as an Earth System Model Emulator
Nov/2020
Title
WRF Modelling of Deep Convection
Warmer Sea Surfaces Intensify Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers
Oct/2020
Title
Future U.S. Agricultural Production Impacted by Domestic and International Changes
Building Electricity Consumption Responds More Strongly to Population Change Than Climate Change
Detecting Forecast Contribution to the Water Release Decisions of Dams Throughout the U.S.
Climatic Impacts on Future 21st Century Global Agricultural Yields
Land Heterogeneity and Conversion Cost Impact Projections of Future Agriculture
Climate Change & Wind Power
Sensitivity of Atmospheric River Vapor Transport and Precipitation to Uniform Sea‐Surface Temperature Increases
Modeling Past and Present Land Use and Land Cover Change
Evaluating the Future Evolution of Virtual Water Trade
Sep/2020
Title
Using Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks to Project Streamflow
The Shifting Scales of Western U.S. Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers Under Climate Change
Aug/2020
Title
Differential Credibility Assessment (DCA) for Statistical Downscaling
Reaching-Up to Power-Up
Jul/2020
Title
Evaluation of Snow Water Equivalent in NARCCAP Simulations
Using Cluster Analysis to Understand Future Changes in California's Wind Patterns
Understanding Automated Detection of Atmospheric Blocking Events
Evaluation of Historical CMIP6 Model Simulations of Extreme Precipitation Over Contiguous US Regions
A Unified Approach to Evaluating Precipitation Frequency Estimates with Uncertainty Quantification: Application to Florida and California Watersheds
Harmonizing and Analyzing Multi-Sectoral Dynamics at Flexible Spatial Scales
Evaluating Climate Model Emulators
Upper-Tail Sea Level Rise Projections Hinge on Climate Sensitivity
A Century of Data Is Not Enough to Establish Reliable Drought Thresholds
Jun/2020
Title
Influences of North Pacific Ocean Domain Extent on the Western US Winter Hydroclimatology in Variable-Resolution CESM
Emulating Indices of Extreme Temperature and Precipitation with Computationally Efficient Algorithms
Tracing Future Water Scarcity Across Socioeconomic and Climate Scenario Combinations
May/2020
Title
A Pathway of Global Food Supply Adaptation in a World with Increasingly Constrained Groundwater
Improved Model Explores Impacts of Future Surprises on Electric Power Investments and Operations
Enhancing the Community Terrestrial System Model to Grow Perennial Bioenergy Crops
Apr/2020
Title
Implications of Climate Model Selection for Projections of Decision-Relevant Metrics: A Case Study of Chill Hours in California
The Making of a Metric: Co-Producing Decision-Relevant Climate Science for Water Management
Identifying Water’s Scale-Specific Impacts on Resilient Electricity System Design
GCAM v5.1: Representing the Linkages between Energy, Water, Land, Climate, and Economic Systems
Climate Effects From Wind Turbines
Seasonality Changes of Extreme Precipitation Over California Under Warming
Atmospheric Rivers Trigger Heavy Snowmelt in the Western United States
Rapidly Exploring Earth System Model Temperature and Precipitation Uncertainty
Mar/2020
Title
Assessing the Stability of Wind Resource and Wind Turbine Operating Conditions
Modelling Hail and Convective Storms With WRF for Wind Energy Applications
Effects of hydrometeor droplet characteristics on wind turbine blade leading edge erosion
Improved Estimates of Drivers of Wind Turbine Blade Leading Edge Erosion
Feb/2020
Title
New Earth System Module Better Represents Temperature Changes in Reservoirs
Scale-Aware Analysis of Energy, Land, and Water Systems Dynamics: Nitrate Release Under Scenarios of Biomass Co-Firing in the Midwestern U.S.
Simulating and Evaluating Atmospheric River Induced Precipitation Extremes Along the US Pacific Coast: Case Studies from 1980‐2017
Moirai Version 3: A Data Processing System to Generate Recent Historical Land Inputs for Global Modeling Applications at Various Scales
Jan/2020
Title
Irrigation Practices affect Monsoon Precipitation
Probabilistic Projections of Sea-Level Rise and Global Mean Temperature using Hector
20% US Electricity From Wind
Nov/2019
Title
A Global Hydrologic Framework to Accelerate Scientific Discovery
Oct/2019
Title
The Nonlinear Response of Storm Surge to Sea-Level Rise: A Modeling Approach
Maximizing ENSO as a Source of Western US Hydroclimate Predictability
Sep/2019
Title
Amplification of Energy Demand Growth in a Future Climate
Sensitivity of Western U.S. Power System Dynamics to Droughts Compounded with Fuel Price Variability
A Faster Way to Explore Earth System Uncertainty
Global Agricultural Green and Blue Water Consumption Under Future Climate and Land Use Conditions
Jul/2019
Title
Evolution of Extreme Heat Risk in Cities: Interacting implications of climate change, population dynamics, and urban heat mitigation
Is There a Winner in the Atmospheric Tug of War?
Warming Temperatures Portend Wetter Winters in Western U.S.
Bracing for an Atmospheric River — and a Sea of Rain
Cross-Spectral Analysis of the SST/10-m Wind Speed Coupling Resolved by Satellite Products and Climate Model Simulations
Quantifying Decision Uncertainty in Water Management via a Coupled Agent-Based Model
Calibration and Uncertainty Analysis of Demeter for Better Downscaling of Global Land Use and Land Cover Projections
A Flexible, Robust, High-Performance Data System for the GCAM Model
A Crop Yield Change Emulator for Use in GCAM and Similar Models: Persephone v1.0
Jun/2019
Title
Asylum Applications to the European Union Respond to Weather Fluctuations in the Origin Country
Household Adjustments to Hurricane Katrina
European Union Accounts for Almost Half of Global Asylum Applications
Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture: A Comparison of Process-Based and Statistical Yield Models
Analysis of ENSO's Response to Unforced Variability and Anthropogenic Forcing Using CESM
A More Realistic Way to Simulate Large-Scale Adoption of New Energy Technologies
Efficient Earth System Model for Analysis of Energy, Water, and Land Resources and Dynamics
Assessing the Expansion Potential of Irrigated Land
Maximizing Ozone Signals Among Chemical, Meteorological, and Climatological Variability Across Space and Time
Quantifying the Indirect Impacts of Climate on Agriculture: An Inter-Method Comparison
The Use of Panel Models in Assessments of Climate Impacts on Agriculture
Efficient Assessment of Environmental Impacts on Crop Yields at the Regional Level
Understand the Effects of Climate on Probable Maximum Precipitation and Flood
Complex Dynamics and Urban Water Transitions in Sustainable Water Management
Characterizing Uncertain Sea-Level Rise Projections to Support Investment Decisions
Evolution of Modeling of the Economics of Global Warming: Changes in the DICE Model, 1992-2017
Estimating Changes in Temperature Distributions in a Large Ensemble of Climate Simulations Using Quantile Regression
Climate Change, Migration, and Regional Economic Impacts in the United States
Synthesis and Review: An Inter-Method Comparison of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture
The Effect of Internal Variability on Ocean Temperature Adjustment in a Low-Resolution CESM Initial Condition Ensemble
Representation of U.S. Warm Temperature Extremes in Global Climate Model Ensembles
Future Climate Emulations Using Quantile Regressions on Large Ensembles
How Will a Warming Climate Influence Global Energy Demand?
Adaptation Opportunities and Constraints in Coupled Systems: Evidence from the U.S. Energy-Water Nexus
Projecting Global Urban Area Growth through 2100 Based on Historical Time Series Data and Future Scenarios
The River Runs Over, Around, and Through it: Accounting for Intensive Water Resource Management in a Semiarid Watershed
Future Hydropower Generation and Consequences for Global Electricity Supply
Calibrating Building Energy Demand Models to Refine Long-Term Energy Planning
Projected Changes in United States Regional Extreme Heat Days
May/2019
Title
The Many Shapes of Reservoirs
Influence of Groundwater Extraction Costs and Resource Depletion Limits on Simulated Global Nonrenewable Water Withdrawals over the 21st Century
Implications of Water Constraints on Electricity Capacity Expansion in the United States
Apr/2019
Title
The Effect of Ensemble Weighting
A New Method for Evaluating Controls on Heat and Drought Extremes
Characterizing Wind Gusts in Complex Terrain
Mar/2019
Title
Improving Projections of Future Hydropower Changes in the Western United States
CERF – A Geospatial Model for Assessing Future Electricity Capacity Expansion
A Hierarchical Analysis of the Impact of Methodological Decisionson Statistical Downscaling of Daily Precipitation and Air Temperatures
Downscaling Wind
The Nonlinear Response of Storm Surge to Sea-Level Rise: A Modeling Approach
The Future of Natural Gas Infrastructure Development in the United States
Regional Responses to Water Scarcity: Agriculture or Power?
Feb/2019
Title
Understanding How Changes in African Dust Might Affect Future Hurricanes in a State-of-the-Art Climate Model
Warmer Climate Brings Stronger Spring Storms to the United States
Improving the Representation of the Statistical Properties of the Data-Model Discrepancies Can Increase the Upper Tail of Sea-Level Projections
Modeling Water Availability for Irrigation in the U.S.
New Technique Improves Understanding of Changes in the Frequency of Heavy Precipitation
A Simpler, Faster Way to Assess Environmental Impacts on Crop Yields
How Well Do Global Gridded Crop Models (GGCMs) Replicate the Responsiveness of Historical US Yields to Weather?
Understanding Complexities in Sustainable Irrigation Water Withdrawals: Global Impacts on Food Production and Land Use
Analyzing the Effect of Ocean Internal Variability on Depth-Integrated Steric Sea-Level Rise Trends Using a Low-Resolution CESM Ensemble
Quantifying Non-Renewable Groundwater Return-Flow and Re-Use in Global Irrigation
The Effects of Adaptation Measures on Hurricane Induced Infrastructure/Property Losses
Jan/2019
Title
Projecting Changes in Societally Impactful Northeastern U.S. Snowstorms
Dec/2018
Title
Atmosphere Outpaces Ocean in Driving Extreme Winter Weather Along the U.S. West Coast
The Changing Character of the California Sierra Nevada as a Natural Reservoir
Nov/2018
Title
Recent Changes in United States Heat Wave Characteristics Derived From Multiple Reanalyses
Interannual Variability of Wind Climates and Wind Turbine Annual Energy Production
Modeling the Contributions of Global Air Temperature, Synoptic-Scale Phenomena and Soil Moisture to Near-Surface Static Energy Variability Using Artificial Neural Networks
The Influence of Real-World Wind Turbine Deployments on Local to Mesoscale Climate
Downstream Effects From Contemporary Wind Turbine Deployments
Wind Gust Characterization at Wind Turbine Relevant Heights in Moderately Complex Terrain
The Impact of Wind Direction Yaw Angle on Cliff Flows
Effects of Water Management on Future Droughts from Atmosphere to Rivers: A Global Multi-Model Analysis
Oct/2018
Title
Understanding Future Drought in California
Towards an Explanation for the Resolution Sensitivity of CAM
Contiguous US Summer Maximum Temperature and Heat Stress Trends in CRU and NOAA Climate Division Data Plus Comparisons to Reanalyses
Sep/2018
Title
Climate of the Weakly-Forced Yet High-Impact Convective Storms Throughout the Ohio River Valley and Mid-Atlantic United States
High Tail Properties For Different Climate Models
Effects of Water Management on Future Droughts from Atmosphere to Rivers: A Global Multi-Model Analysis
Aug/2018
Title
A Hydrological Emulator for Global Applications
Jun/2018
Title
Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today’s Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk
Reconstruction of Global Gridded Monthly Sectoral Water Withdrawals for 1971-2010 and Analysis of Their Spatiotemporal Patterns
Tracking Stalled Storms Like Hurricane Harvey
Sensitivity of Mountain Hydroclimate Simulations in Variable-Resolution CESM to Microphysics and Horizontal Resolution
More Urbanization Could Mean More Rain for Cities
Water Management Influences Long-Term Changes in River Flows
Tethys Tackles Downscaling Challenge for Regional Water Withdrawals
Demeter – A Land Use and Land Cover Change Disaggregation Model
Apr/2018
Title
A Global Food Demand Model for the Assessment of Complex Human-Earth Systems
Opportunities for Joint Water–Energy Management: Sensitivity of the 2010 Western U.S. Electricity Grid Operations to Climate Oscillations
Mar/2018
Title
When Bias Correction Goes Wrong
Jan/2018
Title
Quantifying the Effects of Historical Land Cover Conversion Uncertainty on Global Carbon and Climate Estimates
Exploring a Variable-Resolution Approach for Simulating Regional Climate in the Rocky Mountain Region Using the VR-CESM
The Changing Character of Twenty-First-Century Precipitation over the Western United States in the Variable-Resolution CESM
California's Extreme Swing in Extreme Climate Events
Arctic Tropospheric Warming Events are Increasing, With Impacts to Extreme Weather Events
Using Central Pressure Deficit to Predict Hurricane Damage
Dec/2017
Title
Understanding the Sensitivity of the Mean State of the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) to Horizontal Resolution
How Many Weather Stations are enough to Accurately Simulate Building Energy Demand?
Effects of Local Water Extraction and Reservoir Regulation on Drought in the United States
Reservoir Management Alters Flood Frequency at the Regional Scale
Oct/2017
Title
Evaluating Penalized Logistic Regression Models to Predict Heat-Related, Environmentally Induced Electric Grid Stress?
Kernels of Knowledge: How Land Use Decisions Affect Crop Productivity
Xanthos – A Global Hydrologic Model
Sep/2017
Title
Seasonal Timing of Floods in the Eastern U.S. Has Become More Variable Since 1980
Accounting for Groundwater Use and Return Flow Improves Modeling of Water Management
May/2017
Title
A Hindcast Experiment Using the GCAM 3.0 Agriculture and Land-Use Module
Feb/2017
Title
A Prognostic Fertilization and Irrigation Module Design for Modeling Bioenergy Crop Agriculture in the Earth System
Global Scenarios of Urban Density and Its Impacts on Building Energy Use through 2050
Dec/2016
Title
Assessing the Importance of Spatial Scale in Long-Term Land-Use Modeling over the Midwestern United States
Can Dynamical Downscaling Improve Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Simulations?
Vulnerability of Western U.S. Grid Operations to Water Availability: Identified Critical Droughts
Responses to Global Water Scarcity Lower Global Water Demands from Previous Projections
The Role of Climate Covariability on Bioenergy Crop Yields in the Conterminous United States
Future Climate Warming Induces Emergence of New Hydrologic Regimes of Surface Water Resources in the Conterminous United States
Oct/2016
Title
Quantifying Impacts of Heat Waves on Power Grid Operation
Mar/2016
Title
Hydrologic Model Structural Uncertainty Reduced by a Hierarchical Mixture of Experts and Diagnostic Modeling Approach
Jan/2016
Title
Assessment of the importance of spatial scale in long-term land use modeling of the Midwestern United States
21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating
120 Years of U.S. Residential Housing Stock and Floor Space
Modeling Stream Temperature in the Anthropocene: An Earth System Modeling Approach
Jul/2015
Title
Evaluating Global Streamflow Simulations by a Physically-based Routing Model Coupled with the Community Land Model
Mar/2015
Title
HESFIRE: A Global Fire Model to Explore the Role of Anthropogenic and Weather Drivers
Climate Change Speed-Up
Feb/2015
Title
Sensitivity to Energy Technology Costs: A Multi-Model Comparison Analysis
Electricity Needs Water: A State-by-State Assessment
Nov/2014
Title
Powerful Brakes Applied by Cyclones’ Cold Wakes
Cyclone-Cyclone Interactions through the Ocean Pathway
Jun/2014
Title
Researchers Find Common Ground for Water and Land Process Modeling
Apr/2014
Title
Water Woes Projected in U.S. Southwest: Regional water availability reductions ahead according to research that reveals spring drying trends
Nov/2013
Title
Plugging Water's Effects into an Earth System Model
Apr/2013
Title
Reaching Ambitious Greenhouse Gas Concentration Goals
New River-routing Model Improves Simulations of Water Movement within the Earth’s system
Water Supply and Demand
Oct/2012
Title
A New Global River Network Database for Macroscale Hydrologic Modeling
Feb/2012
Title
The Future of Clean Air: Century-Scale Scenarios Connect Clean Air with Prosperity