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Machine Learning based regional downscaling methods: surface PM2.5 and fire risk as examples

Presentation Date
Tuesday, December 12, 2023 at 2:10pm - Tuesday, December 12, 2023 at 6:30pm
Location
MC - Poster Hall A-C - South
Authors

Author

Abstract

The spatial resolution of climate and atmospheric data, like surface air temperature and surface PM2.5 concentration, is limited by the number of observing stations, leading to gaps in our understanding. This limitation impacts both scientific research and applications such as disaster preparation. Various methods, including objective analysis, have been developed to address this issue, integrating scattered data into a more comprehensive spatial picture.

This study highlights two machine learning-based approaches to overcome limited spatial resolution. First, we've used a machine learning algorithm with satellite-derived data and limited ground observations to construct high-resolution surface PM2.5 maps. This is crucial as fine particulate matter is a major air pollutant affecting health. Second, a Convolution Neural Network (CNN) based algorithm is deployed to create a 4km spatial resolution fire risk forecast for the western United States. This area is particularly vulnerable to wildfires, and accurate, localized prediction is essential for an effective response.

In summary, the study emphasizes the role of machine learning in improving the spatial resolution of climate and atmospheric data. The examples provided demonstrate enhanced monitoring and responsiveness to environmental risks, offering tools that are more accurate and adaptable to the dynamic nature of the environment.

Funding Program Area(s)