Uncertainty Propagation for Integrated Assessment: A Review

Monday, May 12, 2014 - 07:00
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This talk will give a brief overview of methods that have been applied to perform uncertainty analysis of integrated assessment models. I will focus primarily on reviewing efforts to quantify the cascade of uncertainty from economic/social uncertainties to global climate uncertainties to uncertainties in impact and even valuation. Insights to date will be summarized and an objective is to frame a discussion of critical next steps for a research agenda on uncertainty in climate change assessment.

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