Biological and Environmental Research - Earth and Environmental System Sciences
Earth and Environmental System Modeling

Methods of Projecting Future Changes in Extremes

TitleMethods of Projecting Future Changes in Extremes
Publication TypeBook Chapter
Year of Publication2012
AuthorsWehner, Michael
Book TitleExtremes in a Changing Climate: Detection, Analysis and Uncertainty
Chapter8
Pages223-237
PublisherSpringer
ISBN Number978-94-007-4478-3
Abstract / Summary

This chapter examines some selected methods of projecting changes in extreme weather and climate statistics. Indices of extreme temperature and precipitation provide measures of moderately rare weather events that are straightforward to calculate. Drought indices provide measures of both agricultural and hydrological drought that are especially suitable for constructing multi-model ensemble projections of future change. Extreme value statistical theories are surveyed and provide methodologies for projecting the changes in frequency and severity of very rare temperature and precipitation events.

URLhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-4479-0_8
DOI10.1007/978-94-007-4479-0_8
Original Publication: 
Book Title: Extremes in a Changing Climate: Detection, Analysis and Uncertainty
Year of Publication: 2012
Chapter: 8
Pages: 223-237
Publication Date: 09/2012

This chapter examines some selected methods of projecting changes in extreme weather and climate statistics. Indices of extreme temperature and precipitation provide measures of moderately rare weather events that are straightforward to calculate. Drought indices provide measures of both agricultural and hydrological drought that are especially suitable for constructing multi-model ensemble projections of future change. Extreme value statistical theories are surveyed and provide methodologies for projecting the changes in frequency and severity of very rare temperature and precipitation events.

Publisher: Springer
ISBN Number: 978-94-007-4478-3
DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-4479-0_8
Citation:
Wehner, M.  2012.  "Methods of Projecting Future Changes in Extremes."  In Extremes in a Changing Climate: Detection, Analysis and Uncertainty.  Springer, pp. 223-237.  https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-4479-0_8.