Near-term Limits to Mitigation: Challenges Arising from Contrary Mitigation Effects from Indirect Land-use Change and Sulfur Emissions

TitleNear-term Limits to Mitigation: Challenges Arising from Contrary Mitigation Effects from Indirect Land-use Change and Sulfur Emissions
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2014
JournalEnergy Economics
Volume42
Pages233-239
Abstract / Summary

We explore the implications of potentially counteractive greenhouse gas mitigation responses to carbon prices and the complications that could ensue for limiting radiative forcing in the near-term. Specifically we consider the problem of reproducing the radiative forcing pathway for Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5, which stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 W m− 2  (650 ppm CO2-e) under a different terrestrial policy assumption. We show that if indirect land-use change emissions are not priced, carbon prices that can replicate this pathway in the near-term may not exist. We further show that additional complexities could emerge as a consequence of the co-production of CO2 and sulfur emissions as byproducts of fossil fuel combustion.

DOI10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.026
Funding Program: 
Journal: Energy Economics
Year of Publication: 2014
Volume: 42
Pages: 233-239
Publication Date: 03/2014

We explore the implications of potentially counteractive greenhouse gas mitigation responses to carbon prices and the complications that could ensue for limiting radiative forcing in the near-term. Specifically we consider the problem of reproducing the radiative forcing pathway for Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5, which stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 W m− 2  (650 ppm CO2-e) under a different terrestrial policy assumption. We show that if indirect land-use change emissions are not priced, carbon prices that can replicate this pathway in the near-term may not exist. We further show that additional complexities could emerge as a consequence of the co-production of CO2 and sulfur emissions as byproducts of fossil fuel combustion.

DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.026
Citation:
Calvin, K, M Wise, L Clarke, J Edmonds, A Jones, and A Thomson.  2014.  "Near-term Limits to Mitigation: Challenges Arising from Contrary Mitigation Effects from Indirect Land-use Change and Sulfur Emissions."  Energy Economics 42: 233-239.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.026.