American Geophysical Union Fall 2019 Meeting

Monday, December 9, 2019 - 10:00 to Friday, December 13, 2019 - 13:30
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AGU Centennial - Advancing Earth and Space Science
AGU Centennial - Advancing Earth and Space Science

As AGU marks its Centennial in 2019, we return to San Francisco, the home of the AGU Fall Meeting for more than 40 years. Join our diverse community at the newly renovated Moscone Center as we collaborate across borders and boundaries to explore and develop our research. Don’t miss this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to participate in Centennial presentations and special events that will bring to life the past, present and the future of our science.

Today we stand at the intersection of history and our future. Fall Meeting 2019 will prepare you for what’s ahead: rapid developments in our science, new approaches to observing our Earth and beyond, the introduction of new data streams, growing demand for accessible science, the expansion of convergent science, and more. AGU will celebrate our past and inspire the future by bringing together the people, the imagination, and the science that will ignite our next hundred years to make our planet safer, cleaner, and more sustainable.

To showcase your presentation, go to the 2019 AGU Fall Meeting Abstract Lookup page. 

Monday, December 9
A11L. Boundary Layer Clouds and Climate Change II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster A11L-2764. Positive marine low cloud feedback inferred from satellite cloud observations 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A11V. Weather and Climate Modeling Across Scales: From Global to Convection-Permitting II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster A11V-2757. Simulating cloud and precipitation using a multi-scale modeling framework (MMF) with the P3 microphysics 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC11H. Impacts of Climate Change on Water and Energy Systems II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster GC11H-1075. A Framework for Climate Change Adaptation Planning of California's Electricity-Water Nexus 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Monday, December 9 Poster GC11H-1091. Impacts of climate variability and extremes on US power system capacity and operations 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
H11G. Water and Society: Adaptive Management for Floods and Droughts in the Face of Global Climate and Socioeconomic Change I
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited H11G-01. Incorporating reservoir operations in long-term integrated human-Earth system models (Invited) 8:00 am, Moscone West - 3022, L3
Monday, December 9 Oral H11G-04. Quantifying the Spatial Coherence of Deficit and Excess Rainfall Across the Continental United States 8:45 am, Moscone West 3022, L3
A11E. Cloud-Aerosol-Precipitation Interactions and Their Parameterizations in the Context of Weather and Climate I
Monday, December 9 Oral A11E-02. Contributions of Urban Land and Anthropogenic Aerosols of Houston to Convective intensity and Precipitation of a Deep Convective Storm 8:15 am, Moscone West 3000, L3
A11A. Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models I
Monday, December 9 Oral A11A-04. A semi-implicit barotropic mode solver for the MPAS-Ocean 8:45 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
B11A. Carbon and Nutrient Cycle Interactions in Terrestrial Ecosystems: Integrating Theory, Observations, Experiments, and Models I
Monday, December 9 Oral B11A-06. Plant Stoichiometry Traits in Earth System Land Model and Their Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Cycle 9:15 am, Moscone West 3003, L3
B11B. Complexity and Emergent Behavior in the Terrestrial Carbon Sink I
Monday, December 9 Oral B11B-06. Soil organic carbon stocks and radiocarbon ages as multiple constraints on the rate of carbon sequestration 9:15 am, Moscone West 3007, L3
A12E. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation I
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited A12E-01. High Latitude Water Vapor in CMIP6 models (Invited) 10:20 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
Monday, December 9 Oral A12E-03. Using PCMDI’s Objective Summaries of ESM Performance to Gauge Improvements Across Generations of Model Development 10:50 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
Monday, December 9 Oral A12E-05. Leveraging CFMIP experiments to evaluate clouds in CESM2 11:20 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
Monday, December 9 Oral A12E-07. Regionally refined test bed in E3SM atmosphere model version 1 (EAMv1) and applications for high-resolution modeling 11:50 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
A12G. Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability II
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited A12G-01. Quantifying tropical cyclone rainfall from weather to climate scales in numerical simulations and observations (Invited) 10:20 am, Moscone West 3008, L3
Monday, December 9 Oral A12G-05. Spontaneous Tropical Cyclogenesis without Radiative and Surface-Flux Feedbacks. 11:20 am, Moscone West 3008, L3
A12B. Aerosol-Radiation-Cloud-Precipitation Interactions: Linking Regional Air Pollution and Climate Change I
Monday, December 9 Oral A12B-02. Global and Regional Climate Responses to Black Carbon Emissions from the Arctic and Mid-latitudes 10:35 am, Moscone West 3000, L3
GC12B. Climate-Hydrology-Human Interactions and Their Implications for Hydroclimate Extremes in a Changing Environment: High-Resolution Regional Earth System Model Development and Applications II
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited GC12B-02. Integrated Coastal Modeling of Human and Earth System Processes in the Mid-Atlantic Region (Invited) 10:35 am, Moscone West 2005, L2
GC12A. Coupled Surface Interactions in the Arctic and Antarctic: From Process-Level Understanding to Advanced Regional Predictive Capabilities I
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited GC12A-04. Fully Coupled Variable Resolution Sea Ice Simulations in E3SM (Invited) 11:05 am, Moscone West 2003, L2
Monday, December 9 Oral GC12A-05. On the importance of Arctic pelagic phytoplankton blooms beneath a thinning sea ice regime 11:20 am, Moscone West 2003, L2
B12D. The Resilience and Vulnerability of Arctic and Boreal Ecosystems to Climate Change II
Monday, December 9 Oral B12D-05. Mapping Arctic Vegetation using Hyperspectral Airborne Remote Sensing Data 11:20 am, Moscone West 3001, L3
A12C. Atmospheric Sciences: From the Past into the Future II
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited A12C-04. Fingerprinting the Climate System (Invited) 11:50 am, Moscone West 3012, L3
H12G. Human Influence on the Regional/Natural Hydroclimate I
Monday, December 9 Oral H12G-08. Streamflow in the Columbia River Basin: Quantifying changes over the period 1951-2008 and determining the drivers of those changes 12:05 pm, Moscone West 3018, L3
A13F. High-Resolution Climate Modeling on Large Supercomputers I
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited A13F-01. Cloud resolving climate modeling on upcoming Exascale computers (Invited) 1:40 pm, Moscone West 3002, L3
Monday, December 9 Oral A13F-07. Early Results from the E3SM Global Storm-Resolving Model 3:10 pm, Moscone West 3002, L3
A13H. Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster A13H-3036. The development of the Terrestrial Dynamical core (TDycore) library and it’s coupling with E3SM 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
A13P. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster A13P-3050. Evaluation of E3SM Atmospheric Simulations over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Monday, December 9 Poster A13P-3051. Evaluation of the Energy Distribution Across Time Scale in the Power Spectra of Extratropical Modes of Variability 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B13B. Advances in Understanding Water-Carbon Interactions II
Monday, December 9 Oral, Invited B13B-01. The influence of land-atmosphere moisture coupling on net ecosystem exchange and fire responses to forcing by ENSO (Invited) 1:40 pm, Moscone West 3007, L3
B13F. Carbon Monitoring Systems Research and Applications III Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster B13F-2427. Multiple-Time-Scale Dynamics of Tropical Forest Vegetation and Projections for Decision Support 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B13J. Natural Wetlands and Open Waters in the Global Methane Cycle: Modeling, Syntheses, Characterization, Observations, and Challenges II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster B13J-2421. How drying and wetting events impact landscape methane fluxes 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B13O. The Global Methane Cycle II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster B13O-2503. Hysteretic methane emission temperature dependence from microbial and abiotic interactions 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC13H. Coupled Surface Interactions in the Arctic and Antarctic: From Process-Level Understanding to Advanced Regional Predictive Capabilities II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster GC13H-1268. Atmospheric Teleconnection Linking Winter Air Stagnation and Haze Extremes in China to Regional Arctic Sea Ice Decline 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
H13O. Human Influence on the Regional/Natural Hydroclimate II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster H13O-1957. Investigating the role of catchments as nonlinear filters for the propagation of droughts in the US 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
H13Q. Advances in Stochastic, Multihypothesis, and Other Data-Driven Methods for Environmental and Earth System Modeling II Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster H13Q-1995. Evaluation of Nutrient Allocation Hypotheses in the Functionally Assembled Terrestrial Ecosystem Simulator (FATES) 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
H23T. Water and Society: Water Resources Management and Policy in a Changing World V Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster H13T-2064. Quantifying the adaptive water management decision in the San Juan River Basin under climate change 1:40 pm, Moscone South - Poster Hall
NH13B. Centennial Overview: Prediction of Extreme Weather Events and Their Impacts as an Interdisciplinary Problem I Posters
Monday, December 9 Poster NH13B-0806. A hierarchical Bayesian model to understand how regional climate variables and shifts in observational practices contributed to the U.S. tornado records 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC13C. Impacts of Climate Change on Water and Energy Systems I
Monday, December 9 Oral GC13C-05. Comparing Top-Down and Bottom-Up Modeling Approaches to Simulate the Impacts of Climate and Population on Building Electricity Demand 2:40 pm, Moscone West 2005, L2
C13A. Advances in Ice Sheet-Ocean Interactions: From Measurement to Climate Impacts I
Monday, December 9 Oral C13A-08. Ice-shelf ocean boundary layer dynamics from large-eddy simulations 3:25 pm, Moscone West 2008, L2
GC14C. Uncertainty in Recent and Future Sea Level Change I
Monday, December 9 Oral GC14C-05. What is the role of climate sensitivity in extreme sea-level rise scenarios? 5:00 pm, Moscone West 2005, L2
Tuesday, December 10
A21P. Interdisciplinary Sustainable Solutions for Urban Areas II Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster A21P-2845. Impacts of urban densification on neighborhood heat wave resilience 8:00 am, Moscone South - Poster Hall
A21T. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons IV Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster A21T-2785. Contrasting ITCZ changes over recent decades and under anthropogenic warming: causes and impacts 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Tuesday, December 10 Poster A21T-2794. Investigating the utility of an idealized model in understanding the response of atmospheric rivers to climate change 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A21W. Tropospheric Composition and Pollution from the Transport Sector: Observations, Models, and Applications Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster A21W-2639. Impact of Uncertainty in Injection Height of Emissions from Industrial and Shipping Sectors on Global Sulfur Dioxide and Aerosol Distributions (Invited) 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A23L. Biomass Burning and Its Impacts: Emission, Chemical Evolution, and Beyond VI Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster A23L-2972. The impact of wildfire aerosols on near surface climate and gross primary production in the E3SM Earth System Model 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
B21H. Aligning Soil Organic Matter Mechanisms, Measurements, and Models Across Scales: Honoring the Complexity of Soil Processes II Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster B21H-2302. Size affects the processing of polymer and monomer soil organic matter: An explanation of coupled temperature and moisture sensitivity of decomposition kinetics 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
B21I. Controls, Dynamics, and Responses of Deep Soil Carbon to Land Use and Climate Change II Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster B21I-2440. Bias and Constraints on Carbon Cycling in Tropical Forest Soils With Measurements and Modeling of Soil Carbon and Radiocarbon 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
C21D. Advances in Ice Sheet-Ocean Interactions: From Measurement to Climate Impacts III Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster C21D-1473. Impacts of ice-shelf melting on water mass transformation in the Southern Ocean from E3SM simulations 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Tuesday, December 10 Poster C21D-1487. Coupling ice-shelf basal melt rates in the Energy Exascale Earth System (E3SM) Model 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
C21F. Investigating the Feedbacks Between Solid Earth Properties and the Cryosphere II Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster C21F-1511. Rapid viscoelastic deformation slows marine ice sheet instability at Pine Island Glacier 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC21C. Connecting Cause and Effect in Data-Driven Analyses and Vulnerability Assessments of Coupled Human and Geophysical Systems with a Special Focus on Extreme-Driven Impacts II Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster GC21C-1265. Does Urban Population Predict Urban Imperviousness? 8:00 am, Moscone South - Poster Hall
GC21D. Advances in Understanding Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Change in a Changing Climate Using Earth System Records and Models III Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster GC21D-1316. Land use and land cover changes strongly modulate warm-season precipitation over the Central United States 8:00 am, Moscone South - Poster Hall
Tuesday, December 10 Poster GC21D-1331. Land use and land cover change altered terrestrial water cycle and ecosystem dynamics in the conterminous United States over the past two decades 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Tuesday, December 10 Poster GC21D-1334. Projected Changes in the Terrestrial and Oceanic Regulators of Climate Variability Across Sub-Saharan Africa 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
NG21B. Advances in Data Assimilation, Predictability, and Uncertainty Quantification III Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster NG21B-0934. Uncertainty Quantification for the Duke Forest Ecosystem Modeling with the Ecosys Model 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC21A. Decadal to Multidecadal Climate Variability: Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral, Invited GC21A-02. The Role of Interannual ENSO Events in Decadal Timescale Transitions of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (Invited) 8:15 am, Moscone West 2005, L2
Tuesday, December 10 Oral GC21A-03. Disentangling the drivers of global and tropical Pacific decadal variability using large ensembles (Invited) 8:30 am, Moscone West 2005, L2
A21F. Weather and Climate Modeling Across Scales: From Global to Convection-Permitting I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral A21F-06. Regionally Refined Modeling of the Atmosphere in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model 9:15 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
H21G. Water and Society: Water Resources Management and Policy in a Changing World I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral H21G-06. Future changes in the flows of virtual water 9:15 am, Moscone West - 3022, L3
EP22B. Cities and Rivers: Hydrogeomorphology and Ecology eLightning
Tuesday, December 10 Oral EP22B-14. MOSART-urban: Integrated regional-scale urban flood modeling 10:20 am, Moscone South eLightning Theater II
H22E. Water and Society: Water Resources Management and Policy in a Changing World II
Tuesday, December 10 Oral H22E-04. Importance of Water Operations and Water Rights in Assessing Future Climate Impacts 11:05 am, Moscone West 3022, L3
C23B. Advances in Observing and Modeling Ice Sheet and Ice Shelf Surface Mass Balance: Past, Present, and Future III Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster C23B-1540. Evaluating the surface mass balance from E3SM with LIVVkit 3.0 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
C23D. Changing Climate Components in the Arctic and Antarctic Coupled Systems III Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster C23D-1568. Evaluating the Representation of Northern Hemisphere Surface Albedo Feedback in CMIP6 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
EP23B. The ABCs of Sediment Transport
Tuesday, December 10 Oral, Invited EP23B-01. Ice covered delta dynamics 1:40 pm, Moscone West 3011, L3
GC23B. Advances in Understanding Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Change in a Changing Climate Using Earth System Records and Models I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral GC23B-01. Advancing our understanding of the impacts of historic and projected land use in the Earth System: The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) 1:40 pm, Moscone West 2007, L2
H23P. Plant-Water Interactions Under a Changing Climate I Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster H23P-2123. Catchments-scale vegetation water use efficiency: patterns, processes and implications 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Tuesday, December 10 Poster H23P-2133. Earth greening and terrestrial water cycle change 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
IN23D. Achieving the "R" of the FAIR Data Principles: Reusability Is the Biggest Challenge but the Most Rewarding! II Posters
Tuesday, December 10 Poster IN23D-0900. Achieving FAIR’s Data Reusability in Integrated Modeling Environments 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
OS23A. Dynamics of Interbasin Interactions from Seasonal to Centennial Timescales I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral, Invited OS23A-01. Mutually Interactive Decadal-timescale Processes Connecting the Tropical Atlantic and Pacific (Invited) 1:40 pm, Moscone West 2002, L2
Tuesday, December 10 Oral OS23A-03. Linking the inter-basin climate variability through the overturning circulation 2:10 pm, Moscone West 2002, L2
B23D. The Global Methane Cycle I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral, Invited B23D-03. Wetland FLUXNET synthesis for CH4: understanding CH4 fluxes at daily to interannual timescales (Invited) 2:10 pm, Moscone West 3001, L3
A23F. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral A23F-04. Heat Transport by Atmospheric Rivers under Global Warming: Projections using a High-Resolution Earth System Model 2:25 pm, Moscone West 3002, L3
GC23D. Large Ensemble Climate Models as Tools for Exploring Internal Variability, Climate Change Signals, and Impacts I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral GC23D-08. Insights on Emulation Performance from Large Ensemble Experiments 3:25 pm, Moscone West 2005, L2
A24G. Interdisciplinary Sustainable Solutions for Urban Areas I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral A24G-03. Water, Energy, Health, and Heat: Multi-Sector Urban Tradeoffs in a Warming World 4:30 pm, Moscone West 3016, L3
A24H. Light Scattering and Radiative Transfer: Basic Research and Applications I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral A24H-03. A Round Earth for Climate Models: Solar Heating Rates Errors Caused by Lack of Sphericity, Refraction, and a Spherical Hydrostatic Atmosphere 4:30 pm, Moscone West 3022, L3
GC24A. Atmospheric Teleconnections from the Equatorial Pacific: Fifty Years of Progress on the Role of Tropical Oceans in Climate and Its Predictability I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral GC24A-04. The Longitude of Tropical Pacific Deep Convection: A Perspective on ENSO Diversity and Implications for Western US Hydroclimate 4:45 pm, Moscone West 2005, L2
GC24B. Advances in Understanding Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Change in a Changing Climate Using Earth System Records and Models II
Tuesday, December 10 Oral GC24B-05. Global land use and land cover change effects on runoff based on the E3SM land model 5:00 pm, Moscone West 2007, L2
Tuesday, December 10 Oral GC24B-06. Implications of bioenergy crop expansion on water availability and nitrogen loading over the conterminous United States 5:15 pm, Moscone West 2007, L2
A24J. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons II
Tuesday, December 10 Oral A24J-06. Size of the atmospheric blocking events: A scaling law and response to climate change 5:15 pm, Moscone West 3002, L3
B24C. Observing and Modeling the Influence of Disturbance on Ecological, Biogeochemical, and Hydrological Processes: Toward a Predictive Understanding I
Tuesday, December 10 Oral B24C-07. Using Dynamic Vegetation Modeling to Explore Boreal Forest Canopy-cover Shifts Under Water Stress and Changing Climate 5:30 pm, Moscone West 3007, L3
Wednesday, December 11
A31R. Remote Sensing of Atmospheric Dust and Ash: Techniques and Applications Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster A31R-2752. Evaluation of dust emission and transport simulated by global climate models with satellite observations from CALIOP, MODIS, and MISR 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
B31E. Agriculture in the 21st Century: Leveraging Technological Advances to Provide Insights and Promote Sustainability eLightning
Wednesday, December 11 Oral, Invited B31E-01. Ensuring Co-Sustainability of Food Production and Environmental Quality in the U.S. Midwest Agroecosystems (Invited) 8:00 am, Moscone South eLightning Theater III
Wednesday, December 11 Oral B31E-07. Implication of lowering fertilizer usage on energy, agriculture, and land systems 8:00 am, Moscone South - eLightning Theater III
GC31D. Atmospheric Teleconnections from the Equatorial Pacific: Fifty Years of Progress on the Role of Tropical Oceans in Climate and Its Predictability II Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC31D-1223. The Unusual Impact of the 1997 El Niño on East Australian Spring Rainfall 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC31F. Decadal to Multidecadal Climate Variability: Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts III Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC31F-1233. Enhancing Skill of Initialized Decadal Predictions using a Dynamic Model of Drift 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC31F-1244. New Insights into Natural and Anthropogenic Forcing of Global/Regional Climate Evolution 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC31F-1245. How to better define the Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation and its spatial pattern? 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC31J. Carbon, Water, and Society: Adapting to Changes on Multiple Scales I Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC31J-1347. Simulating surface energy-water-carbon fluxes and crop yield using Ecosys model over agroecosystem in the U.S. Corn Belt 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC31N. Advances in Remote Sensing, Machine Learning, and Economics to Improve Risk Management and Evaluate Impacts in Socioenvironmental Systems II Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC31N. Classifying the Complexity of Coupled Energy-Water-Land Systems in the United States 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
H31L. Evapotranspiration (ET): Advances in in Situ ET Measurements and Remote-Sensing-Based ET Estimation, Mapping, and Evaluation IV Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster H31L-1888. Improving ecosystem model by optimizing parameters derived from global flux towers: an example of SWH model 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
OS31C. Dynamics of Interbasin Interactions from Seasonal to Centennial Timescales III Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster OS31C-1749. Indian Ocean Warming Trend Reduces Pacific Warming Response to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gases: An Interbasin Thermostat Mechanism 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A31G. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons III
Wednesday, December 11 Oral A31G-04. UNDERSTANDING SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE CIRCULATION AND RAINFALL TRENDS: THE ROLE OF SSTS 8:45 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
B31D. Vegetation Canopies: Physiology, Structure, Function I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral B31D-06. Evaluation of global maximum carboxylation rate of leaves using remotely sensed leaf chlorophyll content 9:15 am, Moscone West 3001, L3
B31C. Soil Carbon Change and Persistence in the Anthropocene: Results from Empirical, Modeling, Synthesis, and Long-Term Studies I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral B31C-07. A substantial role of soil erosion in the land carbon sink and its future changes 9:30 am, Moscone West 3003, L3
GC31C. Toward Better Understanding of the Impacts of Climate Variability on Agricultural Decision-Making and Longer-Term Adaptation I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral GC31C-07. Empirical irrigated and rainfed crop responses to temperature and precipitation in U.S. counties. 9:30 am, Moscone West 2005, L2
IN32B. Incorporating Physics and Domain Knowledge to Improve Explainability, Reliability, and Generalization of Machine Learning Models II eLightning
Wednesday, December 11 Oral IN32B-05. Emulating Numeric Hydroclimate Models with Physics-Informed cGANs 10:20 am, Moscone South eLightning Theater III
A33O. Forcings, Climate Sensitivity, and Feedbacks in the WCRP CMIP6 Ensemble Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster A33O-3010. Forcing, Feedbacks, and Climate Sensitivity in CMIP6 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
A33S. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons V Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster A33S-3082. Opposite phase changes of precipitation annual cycle over land and ocean under global warming 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B33K. Understanding Phenological Responses and Feedbacks in Terrestrial Vegetation: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Consequences II Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster B33K-2639. Evaluating model uncertainties in daily to seasonal carbon, water and energy cycling across a latitudinal transect using a combination of ensemble analysis and benchmarking 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC33G. Solar Geoengineering Benefits and Risks: Modeling, Impacts, Analogues, Engineering, Ethics, and Governance II Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster GC33G-1429. Terrestrial biogeochemical feedbacks to a geoengineered climate 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
H33I. Applications in Snow Hydrology: Linking Seasonal Snow to Natural Processes and Society II Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster H33I-2029. A Framework to Delineate Precipitation-Runoff Regimes: Precipitation vs. Snowpack in the Western U.S. 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Wednesday, December 11 Poster H33I-2047. The boon and bane of natural water storage in mountains 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Wednesday, December 11 Poster H33I-2048. The Future of Snow: High Resolution Snow Projections for the Continental United States Under Lower and Higher Climate Forcing 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
H33L. Machine Learning in Hydrologic Modeling III Posters
Wednesday, December 11 Poster H33L-2133. Predicting daily streamflow with a dilated convolutional neural network. 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC33C. Innovation and Exploration of Observations and Earth System Models Using Machine Learning and Big Data Analysis I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral GC33C-04. A machine learning approach to quantify land model parameter uncertainty 2:25 pm, Moscone West 2007, L2
GC33B. Carbon, Water, and Society: Adapting to Changes on Multiple Scales I I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral GC33B-06. Modeling carbon storage and water use efficiency in a California agro-ecosystem 2:55 pm, Moscone West 2003, L2
H33A. Application of Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning to Enhance Process Understanding of Pristine and Agriculture-Intensive Watersheds I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral, Invited H33A-08. Exploiting Artificial Intelligence for Advancing Earth and Environmental System Science (Invited) 3:25 pm, Moscone West 2000, L2
GH33A. Extreme Heat: Understanding Vulnerability, Risk, and the Implications for Policy, Individual and Community Health, Economics, and Natural Resources I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral, Invited GH33A-10. Evolution of Extreme Heat Risk in Cities: Interacting Implications of Climate Change, Population Dynamics, and Urban Heat Mitigation (Invited) 3:28 pm, Moscone West 2020, L2
PA34B. Science to Action: Enabling Science to Have Social Impact Through Innovations by Individuals, Organizations, and Research Programs I
Wednesday, December 11 Oral PA34B-10. The making of a metric: Co-producing decision-relevant climate science for water management 5:32 pm, Moscone South 301-302, L3
Thursday, December 12
A41L. Boundary Layer Clouds and Turbulence, and Their Interaction with the Underlying Land or Ocean Surface III Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster A41L-2742. Reconciling differences between large-eddy simulations and Doppler-lidar observations of continental shallow cumulus cloud-base vertical velocity 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A41M. Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster A41M-2855. Nonlinear mode of the climate response to external climate perturbations 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A41O. Extratropical and High-Latitude Storms, Teleconnections, Extreme Events, and the Rapidly Changing Polar Climate III Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster A41O-2806. A recent comprehensive arctic cyclone climatology from the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC41F. Multiscale Water-Energy-Food Nexus Under Environmental, Socioeconomic, and Climate Changes II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster GC41F-1286. The inherent costs and uncertainties of water scarcity in a changing world 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
A41E. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates I
Thursday, December 12 Oral A41E-03. Atmospheric Rivers in a Changing Climate: An Overview from the Second Phase of the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) 8:30 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
Thursday, December 12 Oral A41E-06. Evaluating the magnitude of extreme daily and sub-daily precipitation in CMIP6 models 9:15 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
Thursday, December 12 Oral, Invited A41E-08. Can GCMs produce credible projections of changes in extreme precipitation? (Invited) 9:45 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
A41G. The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves: Observations, Theory, and Modeling I
Thursday, December 12 Oral A41G-04. MJO Simulation in CMIP6 Models: How much improvement has been made from CMIP5 to CMIP6? 8:45 am, Moscone West 3000, L3
B41C. Aligning Soil Organic Matter Mechanisms, Measurements, and Models Across Scales: Honoring the Complexity of Soil Processes I
Thursday, December 12 Oral B41C-08. The age of global soil carbon and implications for sequestration potential 9:45 am, Moscone West 3003, L3
A42E. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates II
Thursday, December 12 Oral A42E-02. Historical Relationships Between Climate Forcings and Observed Extreme Precipitation 10:35 am, Moscone West 3004, L3
A43N. Extratropical Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Variability II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster A43N-3082. Cross-model Variability and Change in the Frequencies of Meteorological Patterns Associated with Atmospheric Rivers in the Northeast Pacific 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
A43O. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates III Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster A43O-3012. 1993–2015 Climatology and changes of extreme precipitation events in Taiwan based on weather types 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Thursday, December 12 Poster A43O-3015. An Exploration of Extreme Precipitation from Tropical Cyclones over the Eastern United States in Variable-Resolution CAM 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Thursday, December 12 Poster A43O-3016. Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Patterns Associated with Tropical Cyclones in the Eastern United States 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
A43S. The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves: Observations, Theory, and Modeling II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster A43S-2997. Mean State Modulation of MJO Propagation: Role of Background Meridional Moisture Gradient 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Thursday, December 12 Poster A43S-3010. The Varied Role of Indo Pacific Surface Characteristics on MJO fidelity in CESM 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
C43E. Properties and Processes of Sea Ice: Understanding Interannual Variability and Dynamic Change II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster C43E-1526. 3D convection, phase change, and solute transport in mushy sea ice 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC43D. AI, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning for Climate Science and Extreme Weather Prediction II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster GC43D-1372. Assessing Changes in Tropical Cyclone Genesis under Varying Climate Scenarios 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC43F. Climate Extremes: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Attribution III Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster GC43F-1335. Extreme Wet Bulb Temperatures in China: the Significant Role of Moisture 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Thursday, December 12 Poster GC43F-1346. Compound Hyro-Climatic Extremes and Agricultural Crop Yields 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC43H. Multiscale Modeling of Human-Natural Earth System Interactions for Sustainable and Resilient Planning at the Nexus of Water-Energy-Food Security, Health, and Conflict II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster GC43H-1396. Climate-Water Impacts on Interconnection-Scale Electricity System Planning 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC43J. The Global Water Cycle: Coupling and Exchanges Between the Ocean, Land, and Atmosphere II Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster GC43J-1385. Quantifying the Amazon Water Cycle Using Atmosphere, Land and Ocean Data 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
H43I. Continental-Scale Modeling: Process Heterogeneity from Summit to Sea IV Posters
Thursday, December 12 Poster H43I-2121. Representing subsurface lateral groundwater flow in Earth system models 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
U44B. WCRP: Progress in Earth System Climate Science and Predictions by the U.S. Global Change Research Program
Thursday, December 12 Oral, Invited U44B-01. Leveraging Observations for Earth System Process Research, Modeling and Predictions (Invited) 4:24 pm, Moscone South 303-304, L3
H44F. Paleoflood and Statistical Methods for Modeling Past and Future Changes in Flood Characteristics: Recent Advances, Novel Approaches, and Comparisons I
Thursday, December 12 Oral H44F-06. On the Variability of Flood Attributes and Damages at the Global Scale 5:15 pm, Moscone West 2008, L2
Friday, December 13
A51E. Constraining Greenhouse Gas Exchange Processes Using Remote Sensing and in Situ Observations I
Friday, December 13 Oral A51E-01. Diagnosing Climate–Carbon Cycle Feedbacks Constrained by ILAMB 8:00 am, Moscone West 3002, L3
A51Q. Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts III Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster A51Q-2827. Effects of Observational Dataset Choice on Multivariate Bias Correction 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
Friday, December 13 Poster A51Q-2832. A Multimodel Technique for Estimating Future Changes in Extreme Precipitation 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
C51C. Modeling of the Cryosphere: Glaciers and Ice Sheets III Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster C51C-1292. Probabilistic Sea Level Projections from Ice Sheet and Earth System Models (ProSPect) 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC51J. Earth’s Energy Imbalance and Energy Flows Through the Climate System II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster GC51J-1081. The transient response of atmospheric and oceanic heat transports to anthropogenic warming 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC51K. Integrated Modeling of Complex Coastal Systems and Human-Environment Interactions II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster GC51K-1000. Global Stream Temperature Simulation and Affected Ecosystem Factors Analysis with an Earth System Modeling Approach 8:00 am, Moscone South Poster Hall
T51C. Advances in Computational Geosciences II eLightning
Friday, December 13 Oral T51C-05. Choosing a Numerical Method for a Terrestrial Dynamical Core 8:00 am, Moscone South eLightning Theater I
A51G. Understanding the Evolution and the Impact of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storms I
Friday, December 13 Oral A51G-02. A New Convective Trigger for Better Capturing the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in Weather and Climate Models: Observational Evidence and Modeling Results 8:15 am, Moscone West 3010, L3
GC51D. Interpretation and Uncertainty Quantification of Climate, Earth System, and Integrated Assessment Models, and Observations I
Friday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC51D-03. Characterizing interactions between human and Earth systems (Invited) 8:40 am, Moscone West 2007, L2
A53K. Atmosphere and Cryosphere Coupling in the Arctic: Observations, Modeling, and Implications for Future Arctic Changes II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster A53K-3015. Quantifying global and high-latitude local radiative feedbacks based on climate model simulations with fixed external forcing 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
A53U. Understanding the Evolution and the Impact of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storms II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster A53U-3054. Reducing Computational Cost of Convective System LES via Translating Nests 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B53H. Forest Disturbance in the Context of Shifting Climate: Understanding Disturbances and Their Interactions as Agents of Forest Change II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster B53H-2497. Integrating Forest Policy and Management Practices into a Size-Structured Vegetation Model, FATES-CLM 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B53K. Integrated Understanding of Global Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles and Their Feedbacks in CMIP6 I Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster B53K-2537. The DOE E3SM Coupled Model v1.1 Biogeochemistry Configuration and Coupled Carbon-Climate Experiments 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Friday, December 13 Poster B53K-2545. Full implementation of matrix approach to biogeochemistry module of Community Land Model version 5 (CLM5) 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Friday, December 13 Poster B53K-2548. Assessing the global carbon cycle in CMIP5 and CMIP6 using ILAMB benchmarking 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Friday, December 13 Poster B53K-2550. Evaluating key uncertainties in ocean carbon cycle processes within CMIP6 models using the International Ocean Model Benchmarking package (IOMB) 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Friday, December 13 Poster B53K-2552. Attribution of Diurnal Temperature Range Trends to Radiative and Physiological Effects of Rising Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B53M. Simulating the Future of North American Forests with Next-Generation Dynamic Global Vegetation Models I Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster B53M-2579. Discretizing diversity: What do two decades of plant functional ecology tell us about parameterizing plants in vegetation models? 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B53N. Tree Drought Stress and Mortality: The Interplay of Climate, Physiology, Hydrology, and Lithology II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster B53N-2602. Stronger influence of growth rate than severity of drought stress on mortality of large ponderosa pines during the 2012-2015 California drought event 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
B53P. Vegetation Canopies: Physiology, Structure, Function II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster B53P-2625. Constraints on Global Photosynthetic Capacity (Vcmax) Within Canopies 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
GC53H. Interpretation and Uncertainty Quantification of Climate, Earth System, and Integrated Assessment Models, and Observations II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster GC53H-1224. Climate uncertainty in agricultural modeling: the effects of downscaling and bias-correction 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
Friday, December 13 Poster GC53H-1225. How to train your model: Calibrating the simple climate model Hector 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
OS53C. El Niño Generation Physics and El Niño Prediction II Posters
Friday, December 13 Poster OS53C-1536. A new metrics package for ENSO evaluation in CMIP models 1:40 pm, Moscone South Poster Hall
A53E. Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts I
Friday, December 13 Oral A53E-03. Understanding Sources of Model Uncertainty Through Diagnostic Characteristics of the Great Plains Low-Level Jet 2:10 pm, Moscone West 3004, L3
GC53C. Climate Extremes: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Attribution I
Friday, December 13 Oral GC53C-07. Flood and heatwave in Japan 2018 and future increase of consecutive compound risk in a warmer world 3:21 pm, Moscone West 2005, L2
A53D. Linking Clouds, Convection, and Circulation: Insights from Models, Theory, and Observations I
Friday, December 13 Oral A53D-08. Could the Large-Scale Circulation Affect Extreme Rainfall? Comparison of Models with Parameterized Convection, Superparameterization and Cloud-Resolved Self-Aggregation 3:25 pm, Moscone West 3012, L3
B54C. Plant Traits, Adaptation, and Biogeochemical Cycles: From Measurements to Models II
Friday, December 13 Oral B54C-04. Examining optimal photosynthetic profiles within vegetation canopies 4:45 pm, Moscone West 3003, L3
Friday, December 13 Oral B54C-06. Using optimization to better understand leaf-to-whole plant acclimation 5:15 pm, Moscone West 3003, L3
H54D. Managing Water and Energy Systems for Increasing Penetration of Renewable Generating Technologies I
Friday, December 13 Oral, Invited H54D-05. An Analytical Framework for Water-Electricity Resilience Planning in the U.S. (Invited) 5:00 pm, Moscone West 3022, L3
GC54B. Climate Extremes: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Attribution II
Friday, December 13 Oral GC54B-07. Extreme floods in Peru during early 2017 5:41 pm, Moscone West 2005, L2