Biological and Environmental Research - Earth and Environmental System Sciences
Earth and Environmental System Modeling

AGU Fall Meeting 2020

Tuesday, December 1, 2020 - 08:00 to Thursday, December 17, 2020 - 17:00
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The AGU20 Fall Meeting is one of the world's largest virtual scientific conferences, with exciting programming and events. This will be our most diverse, engaging and dynamic Fall Meeting to date.

AGU20 is scheduled from 1-17 December to accommodate over a thousand hours of virtual content to minimize conflicts while maximizing global engagement. Scientific program content will be available on-demand, with pre-recorded oral presentations and virtual posters available for attendees to view and peruse outside of the scheduled live Q&A sessions during the meeting. 

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Monday, December 7
A002. Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models II Posters
Monday, December 7 Poster A002-0005. Diagnosing and Addressing Numerical Noise by Improving Spatial Discretizations in CLUBB 4:00 am, Poster
A009. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates III Posters
Monday, December 7 Poster A009-0010. High-Resolution Detection and Attribution for Extreme Precipitation over the Contiguous United States 4:00 am, Poster
Monday, December 7 Poster A009-0018. Which Physical Processes are the Main Causes of Extreme Precipitation over the CONUS? 4:00 am, Poster
A011. Microphysical and Macrophysical Properties and Processes of Ice and Mixed-Phase Clouds: Linking in Situ, Remote Sensing Observations and Multiscale Models II Posters
Monday, December 7 Poster A011-0009. Extreme supersaturation in CESM2 and E3SM simulations: sensitivity to step time-stepping and impact on model climate 4:00 am, Poster
GC007. Advances in Understanding Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Change in a Changing Climate Using Earth System Records and Models II Posters
Monday, December 7 Poster GC007-0003. Advances in the representation of suitability and protection in global land data systems. 4:00 am, Poster
Monday, December 7 Poster GC007-0009. Modeling Bioenergy Crops in the E3SM Land Model 4:00 am, Poster
H006. Advancing Soil Moisture Science via Monitoring, Modeling, and Remote Sensing II Posters
Monday, December 7 Poster H006-0003. Developing a Gridded Upscaled Soil Moisture Dataset Using Sparse in situ Observations 4:00 am
GC011. Drivers and Mechanisms of Terrestrial Water Cycle Changes at Global and Regional Scales I
Monday, December 7 Presentation GC011-04. Future Changes in Precipitation Seasonal Cycle in Multi-model Ensembles 5:42 am
Monday, December 7 Oral GC011-07. Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Propagation of Summer Extreme Precipitation Events over USA: A Complex Network Analysis 5:54 am, Virtual
A022. Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models III eLightning
Monday, December 7 Oral A022-03. Sensitivity of the E3SM Microphysics Model to Process Coupling Time Step Sizes 4:06 pm, Virtual
Monday, December 7 Oral A022-15. Recent performance improvements in DOE E3SM fully coupled model 4:42 pm, Virtual
A023. Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models I
Monday, December 7 Oral, Invited A023-01. Towards task-based implementation of MPAS-Ocean simulation code. 5:30 pm, Virtual
A024. Jacob Bjerknes Lecture
Monday, December 7 Presentation A024-01. A Quest to Understand and Model Regional Precipitation and Their Future Changes 5:30 pm
GC018. Advances in Understanding Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Change in a Changing Climate Using Earth System Records and Models I
Monday, December 7 Oral GC018-03. Deforestation Strengthens Dust Transport from North Africa to the Amazon 5:38 pm, Virtual
Monday, December 7 Oral GC018-05. Disentangling contributions of climate change and land use to global flood change 5:46 pm, Virtual
Tuesday, December 8
A039. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation III Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster A039-0003. Are newer climate models better in simulating extratropical modes of variability than older ones?: A comparison between CMIP3, 5, and 6 models 4:00 am, Poster
Tuesday, December 8 Poster A039-0014. Evaluation of a new interactive stratospheric ozone model for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model 4:00 am, Poster
A040. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation IV Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster A040-0004. Representation of Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models 4:00 am, Poster
A042. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates IV Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster A042-0002. Building a Climatology of Extratropical Cyclones and Fronts and Their Associated Precipitation 4:00 am, Poster
Tuesday, December 8 Poster A042-0014. Quantitative Precipitation Estimation of Extremes over the Continental United States with Radar Data 4:00 am, Poster
B019. Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models II Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster B019-0003. Country-level carbon sequestration potential by the middle of the 21 century 4:00 am, Poster
Tuesday, December 8 Poster B019-0005. Dissolved Organic Carbon in Arctic Rivers: Reduced Model with Functional Groups 4:00 am
Tuesday, December 8 Poster B019-0009. Detection and Attribution of Climate-Driven Extremes in Net Biome Productivity from 1850 through 2100 4:00 am
Tuesday, December 8 Poster B019-0010. Have Land Surface and Carbon Cycle Processes in Earth System Models Improved Over Time? 4:00 am
Tuesday, December 8 Poster B019-0011. The Community Land Model (CLM5) Parameter Perturbation Ensemble Project: Towards Comprehensive Understanding of Parametric Uncertainty on the Global Terrestrial Carbon Cycle 4:00 am
B022. Vulnerability of Permafrost Carbon and Environmental Drivers to Climate Change III Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster B022-0022. Permafrost in a Simple Carbon-Climate Model 4:00 am, Poster
C013. Permafrost Systems in Transition: Interdisciplinary Approaches and Research Challenges IV Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster C013-0012. Characterizing the Distribution of Lakes on Arctic Deltas 4:00 am, Poster
NH008. The Role of Fire in the Earth System: Understanding Drivers, Feedbacks, and Interactions with the Land, Atmosphere, and Society III Posters
Tuesday, December 8 Poster NH008-0003. Antecedent Hydrometeorological Controls on Wildfire Occurrence in the Western U.S. 4:00 am, Poster
NH010. The Role of Fire in the Earth System: Understanding Drivers, Feedbacks, and Interactions with the Land, Atmosphere, and Society I
Tuesday, December 8 Presentation NH010-02. Quantifying the drivers and predictability of seasonal changes in African fire 5:40 am
A045. Cloud–Aerosol–Precipitation Interactions and Their Parameterizations in the Context of Weather and Climate I eLightning
Tuesday, December 8 Oral A045-07. Impacts of Cloud Microphysics Parameterizations on Simulated Aerosol-Cloud-Interactions for Deep Convective Clouds over Houston 5:48 am, Virtual
A047. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation I
Tuesday, December 8 Oral A047-03. Evaluating hydrologic sensitivity in CMIP6: internal variability versus anthropogenic forcing 7:08 am, Virtual
NH011. The Role of Fire in the Earth System: Understanding Drivers, Feedbacks, and Interactions with the Land, Atmosphere, and Society II
Tuesday, December 8 Presentation NH011-05. Using CESM-RESFire to Understand Climate-Fire-Ecosystem Interactions and the Implications for Decadal Climate Variability 7:25 am
B024. Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models I
Tuesday, December 8 Oral, Invited B024-02. Do carbon cycle models of the terrestrial biosphere need a Revelle factor when simulating carbon storage rates from increasing levels of gross primary production? 10:36 am, Virtual
Tuesday, December 8 Presentation B024-05. How does optimal photosynthetic acclimation affect future carbon and nutrient cycling? 10:48 am
Tuesday, December 8 Presentation B024-07. Global evaluation of ELM v1 and the role of the phosphorus cycle and non-structural carbon in the historical terrestrial carbon balance 10:56 am
A050. Atmospheric Aerosols and Their Interactions with Clouds, Radiation, and Climate on Regional Scales III
Tuesday, December 8 Oral A050-03. Improving the representation of ultra-fine aerosols in the E3SM atmosphere model 4:08 pm, Virtual
A052. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation II
Tuesday, December 8 Oral A052-02. Benchmarking Simulated Precipitation in Earth System Models 5:34 pm, Virtual
Tuesday, December 8 Oral, Invited A052-04. Cloud feedbacks cause higher climate sensitivity in CMIP6. What do observations say? 5:42 pm, Virtual
Wednesday, December 9
A058. Air Quality During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Responses to Emissions Reductions and the Role of in Situ Data V Posters
Wednesday, December 9 Poster A058-0014. Fast Climate Responses to Aerosol Emission Reductions During the COVID-19 Pandemic 4:00 am
A062. Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Processes in the Maritime Continent and Indo-Pacific IV Posters
Wednesday, December 9 Poster A062-0015. Island Rainfall Enhancement in the Maritime Continent 4:00 am, Poster
A064. Atmospheric Convection: Processes, Dynamics, and Links to Weather and Climate III Posters
Wednesday, December 9 Poster A064-0015. A Vertically Resolved Moist Static Energy Framework Highlights the Role of the Boundary Layer in Convective Self-Aggregation 4:00 am, Poster
Wednesday, December 9 Poster A064-0018. Greater tropical ascent area reduction linked to higher equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP6 4:00 am, Poster
B038. The Global Methane Cycle II Posters
Wednesday, December 9 Poster B038-0010. Upscaling FLUXNET-CH<sub>4</sub>: Data-driven model performance, predictors, and regional to global methane emission estimates for freshwater wetlands 4:00 am, Poster
C022. Understanding Ice Shelf Processes III Posters
Wednesday, December 9 Poster C022-0009. Sensitivity of modeled ice-shelf basal melt rates to ocean horizontal mixing in the Energy Exascale Earth System (E3SM) Model 4:00 am, Poster
Wednesday, December 9 Poster C022-0016. Ice Sheet Model Mesh-resolution Dependence of Damage Advection and Calving 4:00 am, Poster
SY023. Science to Action: Transformative Partnerships and Knowledge Coproduction to Advance Decision-Relevant Science III Posters
Wednesday, December 9 Poster SY023-0020. Collaboration to better understand Arctic change 4:00 am, Poster
C023. Integrating Observations and Models to Better Understand a Changing Arctic System I
Wednesday, December 9 Oral C023-03. Assessing prior emergent constraints on surface albedo feedback in CMIP6 5:38 am, Virtual
A071. Applications of Machine Learning Algorithms in Modeling Atmospheric Aerosols, Clouds, and Radiation I
Wednesday, December 9 Oral A071-04. Parameterization of Autoconversion Rates in a Climate Model Using Machine Learning with Training from Large Eddy Simulations 7:12 am, Virtual
H071. Characterizing Spatial and Temporal Variability of Hydrological and Biogeochemical Processes Across Scales I
Wednesday, December 9 Oral H071-03. Increase in extreme rains stimulates larger erosional N and P fluxes to the northern Gulf of Mexico in recent decades 4:08 pm, Virtual
GC047. Sustainability in FEW Nexus Systems Through Novel Interdisciplinary Research Advances, Earth Observations, and Policy Science for Adaptation Strategies II
Wednesday, December 9 Oral GC047-08. The evolution of energy-water-agriculture inter-connectivity across scales in the U.S. 4:28 pm, Virtual
H072. Soil, Plant, and Climate Interactions in the Critical Zone Under Varying Land Use, Ecosystem Management, and Climatic Forcing I
Wednesday, December 9 Oral H072-08. An improved Zhang’s Water Balance Model using Budyko-based snow representation and time-varying parameterization for better streamflow predictions 4:30 pm, Virtual
Thursday, December 10
A090. High-Resolution Climate Modeling on Large Supercomputers II Posters
Thursday, December 10 Poster A090-0003. An evaluation of the subtropical eastern North Pacific SST bias in the E3SM v1 4:00 am, Poster
Thursday, December 10 Poster A090-0005. Evaluating the water cycle over CONUS using multiple metrics for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Across Resolution 4:00 am, Poster
Thursday, December 10 Poster A090-0007. Evaluation of E3SMv1 Simulated Surface Winds Over the Southern Ocean and the Antarctica 4:00 am, Poster
Thursday, December 10 Poster A090-0014. The CAM-MPAS model simulations for the HighResMIP experiments 4:00 am, Poster
A093. Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts II Posters
Thursday, December 10 Poster A093-0010. Extreme Event Exposure Uncertainty in NA-CORDEX Projections 4:00 am
Thursday, December 10 Poster A093-0017. Key Mechanisms that Weaken the Sierra Nevada and Cascade Rain Shadows under Global Warming 4:00 am, Poster
A096. Weather and Climate Modeling Across Scales: From Global to Convection-Permitting II Posters
Thursday, December 10 Poster A096-0008. Sensitivity of sub-daily extreme winter precipitation to model resolution 4:00 am, Poster
GC057. Multisector Dynamics: Energy–Water–Land Interactions at Multiple Scales II Posters
Thursday, December 10 Poster GC057-0001. Estimating Future Virtual Water Trading within the U.S. Electricity Grid 4:00 am, Poster
Thursday, December 10 Poster GC057-0004. MultiSector Influences on Urban Water Supply Across the United States 4:00 am, Poster
Thursday, December 10 Poster GC057-0010. A Bayesian approach to determining the feasibility of electricity capacity expansion plans 4:00 am
SY030. Beyond Statistics: Providing Science-Based Guidance to Support Resilient Investment in an Uncertain Future II Posters
Thursday, December 10 Poster SY030-0006. Examination of Miracle Spring Precipitation under the warmer climate in Colorado River Basin 4:00 am, Poster
Thursday, December 10 Poster SY030-0010. Making Sustained Progress to Addressing the 'Practitioners Dilemma' 4:00 am, Poster
A083. Weather and Climate Modeling Across Scales: From Global to Convection-Permitting I
Thursday, December 10 Oral A083-08. Time-step sensitivity, process coupling, and subtropical marine stratocumulus in EAMv1 4:28 am, Virtual
A097. High-Resolution Climate Modeling on Large Supercomputers I
Thursday, December 10 Oral A097-04. Performance-Portability Results for the Non-Hydrostatic Atmosphere Dycore of E3SM at Cloud-Resolving Resolutions. 5:42 am, Virtual
C031. Controls on Marine-Terminating Glacier, Ice Stream, and Ice Shelf Dynamics in Observations and Models II
Thursday, December 10 Oral C031-05. Projections of 21st century sea-level rise from Humboldt Glacier, north Greenland 5:46 am, Virtual
B053. Advances in Understanding Water–Carbon Interactions II
Thursday, December 10 Presentation B053-07. Short-term water-carbon interactions regulate interannual variability in ecosystem responses to changing climates 5:54 am
A103. Atmosphere, Ocean, and Land Processes in the Maritime Continent and Indo-Pacific I
Thursday, December 10 Oral, Invited A103-02. Land-Sea Breezes and the Diurnal Cycle in Rainfall in the MC 5:34 pm, Virtual
A104. Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts I
Thursday, December 10 Oral, Invited A104-02. The Ongoing Need for High-Resolution Regional Climate Models: Process Understanding and Stakeholder Information 5:34 pm, Virtual
GC064. Multisector Dynamics: Energy–Water–Land Interactions at Multiple Scales I
Thursday, December 10 Oral GC064-06. Advances and gaps on propagating the impact of climate change on future water availability through the energy planning process: a Western US Case Study 5:50 pm, Virtual
Thursday, December 10 Oral GC064-07. Evaluating Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Electricity and Water Systems in the Western US with a Cross-Sectoral Energy-Water Nexus Modeling Approach 5:54 pm, Virtual
Friday, December 11
A113. Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms III Posters
Friday, December 11 Poster A113-0020. Observational constraints on decadal low cloud feedbacks associated with varying sea surface temperature patterns 4:00 am, Poster
A119. Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability III Posters
Friday, December 11 Poster A119-0003. The impact of the Moisture-Entrainment-Convection feedback on Spontaneous TC genesis 4:00 am, Poster
A121. Understanding the Evolution and the Impact of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storms III Posters
Friday, December 11 Poster A121-0004. Development of a Global High-resolution Mesoscale Convective System Tracking Database using GPM IMERG V06 4:00 am, Poster
Friday, December 11 Poster A121-0005. The contrast in MCS environments between spring and summer over the U.S. Great Plains 4:00 am, Poster
A122. Understanding the Evolution and the Impact of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storms IV Posters
Friday, December 11 Poster A122-0001. A climatology and extreme value analysis of large hail in China 4:00 am, Poster
GC072. Multisector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations IV Posters
Friday, December 11 Poster GC072-0009. Flood Loss Risk and Its Drivers: Evidence from Massachusetts Residential Properties 4:00 am, Poster
Friday, December 11 Poster GC072-0014. Representing adaptive irrigation response to changing water availability and crop prices in a coupled human-water system model of the Continental United States. 4:00 am, Poster
GC073. Multisector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations V Posters
Friday, December 11 Poster GC073-0007. Exploring sea-level rise uncertainties using CMIP5/CMIP6 ensembles combined with a reduced complexity climate model (Hector-BRICK) 4:00 am, Poster
Friday, December 11 Poster GC073-0013. Mid-Century Temperature Shifts' Heterogeneous Impacts on the Demand for Electricity: Evidence from World Cities 4:00 am, Poster
GC067. Multisector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations I
Friday, December 11 Oral GC067-06. Land Use Change in the Continental United States under a Multisystem Dynamics Approach: Are There Tipping Points? 4:20 am, Virtual
Friday, December 11 Oral GC067-07. Understanding how water scarcity vulnerabilities vary across multi-sectoral users within institutionally complex river basins 4:24 am, Virtual
GC075. Multisector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations II
Friday, December 11 Oral GC075-01. A Consistent Framework for Probabilistic Uncertainty Quantification in Coupled Human-Earth System Models 5:30 am, Virtual
Friday, December 11 Oral GC075-03. Identifying hotspots of multi-sector vulnerability: A risk triage framework 5:38 am, Virtual
Friday, December 11 Oral GC075-04. Uncertainty in Energy-Water Climate Impacts: Review and Recommendations 5:42 am, Virtual
Friday, December 11 Oral GC075-07. Uncertainties in Driving Agricultural Models with Downscaled and Bias-Corrected Climate Information 5:54 am, Virtual
Friday, December 11 Oral GC075-08. Properties of Change: Politics and Land Ownership in Northern Alaskan Social-Environmental Systems 5:58 am, Virtual
GC076. Implications of Climate Change, Extreme Events, and Adaptation Potentials for Global Agriculture I eLightning
Friday, December 11 Oral GC076-11. Unique temporal patterns of future agricultural impacts – Changes in average yield and the volatility of regional production against global warming levels 6:00 am, Virtual
A129. Model Physics and Process-Based Testing and Evaluation of Weather and Climate Models I eLightning
Friday, December 11 Oral A129-14. Ensemble hindcasts using the E3SM Atmosphere Model and the Data Assimilation Research Testbed 11:09 am, Virtual
A131. Understanding the Evolution and the Impact of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storms I
Friday, December 11 Oral A131-03. Global Mesoscale Convective System Latent Heating Characteristics from GPM and IMERG Retrievals 4:08 pm, Virtual
Friday, December 11 Oral A131-05. Linking hails and tornadoes to mesoscale convective systems: a long-term statistical study 4:16 pm, Virtual
A130. Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms II
Friday, December 11 Oral A130-06. Natural variability can explain model-satellite differences in tropical tropospheric warming 4:20 pm, Virtual
Monday, December 14
A156. The Madden–Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction III Posters
Monday, December 14 Poster A156-0013. Understanding Ocean Feedbacks to the MJO through the Lens of Convection-Moisture Coupling 4:00 am, Poster
C043. Advances in Glacier Hydrology II Posters
Monday, December 14 Poster C043-0011. Subglacial channelization and spatially variable bed properties are critical to the modeling of Thwaites Glacier ice dynamics 4:00 am
Monday, December 14 Poster C043-0012. Investigating the impacts of channelized subglacial hydrology on melt rates at the margin of Humboldt Glacier in northern Greenland 4:00 am, Poster
C047. Quantifying Spatial and Temporal Variability of Snow and Snow Processes II Posters
Monday, December 14 Poster C047-0013. Simulated and Observed Spatiotemporal Variations of Warming Caused Earlier Snow Melting in Northern High-Latitude Regions 4:00 am
EP045. River Deltas: Hydrology, Geomorphology, and Sedimentology I
Monday, December 14 Oral, Invited EP045-01. Ice-Dominated Deltas 4:00 am, Virtual
H134. Advancing Spatial Discretization in Hydrologic and Land Surface Modeling I Posters
Monday, December 14 Poster H134-0004. Evaluation of river routing on a hexagonal grid for coupled earth system modeling 4:00 am, Poster
PP035. Advances in Understanding Meridional Overturning Circulation from Past to Future: Insights from Multiple Approaches III Posters
Monday, December 14 Poster PP035-0003. The Role of Oceanic and Atmospheric Feedbacks in the Response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to a CO2 Increase 4:00 am, Poster
A139. Atmosphere and Cryosphere Coupling in the Arctic: Observations, Modeling, and Implications for Future Arctic Changes I
Monday, December 14 Oral A139-03. Understanding Roles of Cloud and Precipitation in the Recent Arctic Warming through Radiative Feedbacks 4:10 am, Virtual
GC081. Climate Extremes: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Attribution I
Monday, December 14 Oral GC081-04. Identifiable signatures of greenhouse gases and particulate atmospheric pollution on the changing hydroclimate 4:12 am, Virtual
Monday, December 14 Oral GC081-06. Event attribution frameworks for quantifying climate change impacts on hurricane rainfall 4:20 am, Virtual
Monday, December 14 Oral GC081-07. Projected Effects of Climate Change on Simultaneous North American Megafires Based on NA-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations 4:24 am, Virtual
A157. Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Observations, Theory, and Modeling I
Monday, December 14 Oral A157-02. Investigating Changes in Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in Aquaplanet Simulations Under Idealized Warming 5:34 am, Virtual
PP038. Advances in Understanding Meridional Overturning Circulation from Past to Future: Insights from Multiple Approaches I
Monday, December 14 Oral PP038-05. Revisiting AMOC Transport Estimates from Models and Observations 10:16 am, Virtual
IN032. Advancing Tools and Services for Climate Models and Analytics I
Monday, December 14 Presentation IN032-04. Land Model Testbed: Accelerating Development, Benchmarking and Analysis of Land Surface Models 10:18 am
H153. Land–Atmosphere Interactions: From Bedrock to Boundary Layer II
Monday, December 14 Oral H153-02. Soil moisture-precipitation feedbacks: interactions between MCS and non-MCS rainfall through the soil moisture pathway 4:04 pm, Virtual
A165. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates II
Monday, December 14 Oral A165-03. Summer Mean and Extreme Precipitation over the Mid-Atlantic Region: Climatological Characteristics and Contributions from Different Precipitation Types 4:08 pm, Virtual
SY049. Beyond Statistics: Providing Science-Based Guidance to Support Resilient Investment in an Uncertain Future I
Monday, December 14 Oral SY049-03. Typologies of Actionable Climate Information and its Use 4:12 pm, Virtual
Monday, December 14 Oral SY049-07. Deep Engagement with Southern California Water Managers: Simulating Future Storms to Stress Test Systems 4:28 pm, Virtual
A167. The Madden–Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction I
Monday, December 14 Presentation A167-06. The role of the mean state on MJO simulation in CESM2 ensemble simulation 5:50 pm
B089. Vegetation Drought Responses and Plant Hydraulics: Observations and Modeling Across Scales I
Monday, December 14 Oral B089-03. Exacerbated drought impacts on global ecosystems due to structural overshoot 7:08 pm, Virtual
A171. Linking Clouds, Convection, and Circulation: Insights from Models, Theory, and Observations I
Monday, December 14 Presentation A171-02. The Role of Radiative Interactions in Tropical Cyclone Development under Realistic Boundary Conditions 8:34 pm
Monday, December 14 Oral A171-03. Pathways Linking Deep Convection, Circulation and Low Cloud Feedback 8:38 pm, Virtual
GC095. The Global Water Cycle: Coupling and Exchanges Between the Ocean, Land, and Atmosphere I
Monday, December 14 Presentation GC095-09. Soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks mitigate projected surface water availability declines in drylands 9:02 pm
Tuesday, December 15
A179. Atmospheric Rivers: Processes, Impacts, and Uncertainty Quantification II Posters
Tuesday, December 15 Poster A179-0005. Uncertainty in Current and Projected Atmospheric Rivers: A Call for Process-Oriented Constraints on AR Detection 4:00 am, Poster
Tuesday, December 15 Poster A179-0006. Uncertainties in Atmospheric River Life Cycles by Detection Algorithms: Climatology and Variability 4:00 am, Poster
Tuesday, December 15 Poster A179-0008. A ClimateNet-trained Deep Learning Model for Atmospheric River Detection 4:00 am
Tuesday, December 15 Poster A179-0012. Sources of Subseasonal-to-seasonal Predictability of Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in the Western United States 4:00 am, Poster
Tuesday, December 15 Poster A179-0019. The role of atmospheric rivers on groundwater 4:00 am, Poster
GC104. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Weather and Climate Models II Posters
Tuesday, December 15 Poster GC104-0003. An evaluation of global climate model-simulated tropical cyclone rainfall structures in the HighResMIP simulations against the satellite observations 4:00 am
H166. Machine Learning in Hydrologic Modeling III Posters
Tuesday, December 15 Poster H166-0016. From parameter calibration to parameter learning: Revolutionizing large-scale geoscientific modeling with big data 4:00 am, Poster
H169. Using Precipitation Data Sets and Quantifying Associated Uncertainties in Hydrometeorological and Climate Impact Applications II Posters
Tuesday, December 15 Poster H169-0002. Connecting Hydrologic and Meteorological variables and pre-conditions to flood probability 4:00 am, Poster
H174. Advancing Process-Based and Data-Driven Modeling for River Corridor and Watershed Systems II eLightning
Tuesday, December 15 Oral H174-02. Comparison between multiple physical-based hydrologic models in modeling groundwater-surface water interactions in a coastal watershed 5:33 am, Virtual
GC105. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Weather and Climate Models I
Tuesday, December 15 Presentation GC105-04. Quantifying and Diagnosing Biases in Mesoscale Convective Systems in High Resolution Climate Simulations 5:42 am
Tuesday, December 15 Oral GC105-08. Striking the right balance between holistic performance metrics and process-oriented diagnostics 5:58 am, Virtual
H176. Water and Society: Water Resources Management and Policy in a Changing World II
Tuesday, December 15 Oral H176-03. Projections of climate change impacts on crop yields are strongly sensitive to agro-hydrologic model parameterization 7:08 am, Virtual
A194. Extreme Weather and Climate in Urban Areas and Their Social Impacts and Mitigation I
Tuesday, December 15 Oral A194-02. Impacts of Urbanization on Convective Storms through Urban Land and Aerosol effects 8:34 am, Virtual
GC107. Irrigation Interactions with the Earth System: Observations, Modeling, Multiscale Impacts I
Tuesday, December 15 Oral GC107-06. Local and Global Drivers of Irrigation Water Demand in California: Interacting Implications of Climate Change and Adaptation 10:20 am, Virtual
A199. Atmospheric Rivers: Processes, Impacts, and Uncertainty Quantification I
Tuesday, December 15 Oral A199-02. Probabilistic Detection of Atmospheric Rivers Across Climate Datasets and Resolutions with Neural Networks 11:34 am, Virtual
Tuesday, December 15 Oral, Invited A199-03. Atmospheric Rivers in a Changing Climate: An Overview from the second phase of the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) 11:38 am, Virtual
Tuesday, December 15 Oral A199-08. The Shifting Scales of Western US Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers Under Climate Change 11:58 am, Virtual
B102. The Resilience and Vulnerability of Arctic and Boreal Ecosystems to Climate Change VI eLightning
Tuesday, December 15 Presentation B102-07. Understanding the Patterns and Drivers of Arctic Tundra Plant Communities 11:48 am
H183. Groundwater Response to Climate Change and Variability I
Tuesday, December 15 Oral H183-07. Impacts of end of century climate extremes on California hydrology 4:24 pm, Virtual
H184. Hydrometeorologic Extremes: Prediction, Simulation, and Change II
Tuesday, December 15 Oral H184-08. Spatial-Temporal Trends of Extreme Winds in The United States 4:28 pm, Virtual
IN040. Open-Source Packages and FAIR Software: Challenges with Identifying the Best Tools, Communicating Data Quality, and Making Analytical Code FAIR II eLightning
Tuesday, December 15 Oral IN040-11. Opening Up: The Benefits of Adopting Open Science Principles in a Large Multi-Institutional Modeling Project 7:30 pm, Virtual
A207. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons II
Tuesday, December 15 Oral A207-05. What We can Learn about Monsoon Rainfall from the Energy Flow?---Energetic Constraint for the Leading Neutral Mode of Monsoon Rainfall Variability and its Future Projection 8:46 pm, Virtual
Tuesday, December 15 Oral A207-07. The Globally Coherent Pattern of Autumn Monsoon Precipitation 8:54 pm, Virtual
B106. Surface–Atmosphere Interactions: From Single Flux Measurements to Integrated Synthesis I
Tuesday, December 15 Presentation B106-07. The CO2 effect on evapotranspiration trends as inferred by eddy covariance observations 8:54 pm
H190. Drought Timescales and Impacts: Prediction, Risk Assessment, and Resilience I
Tuesday, December 15 Oral H190-07. Evaluating the impact of demand-driven spatial droughts on crop yield anomalies 8:54 pm, Virtual
Wednesday, December 16
A212. Arctic and Midlatitude Linkage: Causes and Effects II Posters
Wednesday, December 16 Poster A212-0003. Are 100 ensemble members enough to capture the remote atmospheric response to +2°C Arctic sea ice loss ? 4:00 am, Poster
A229. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons VII Posters
Wednesday, December 16 Poster A229-0004. Contrasting changes in the seasonal ITCZs between recent observations and future projection 4:00 am, Poster
Wednesday, December 16 Poster A229-0012. Influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the large-scale circulation in South America 4:00 am, Poster
B108. Carbon Monitoring Systems Research and Applications III Posters
Wednesday, December 16 Poster B108-0027. Quantifying the carbon budget of the U.S. Midwestern agroecosystems through model-data fusion 4:00 am, Poster
B110. Emergent Behavior in the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle II Posters
Wednesday, December 16 Poster B110-0012. The carbon cost of maintaining ecosystem carbon sinks and its climate and soil dependence 4:00 am, Poster
GC119. Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Change: Monitoring and Modeling the Soil Organic Carbon and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Agroecosystems III Posters
Wednesday, December 16 Poster GC119-0011. Towards a multiscale crop modelling framework for climate change adaptation assessment 4:00 am, Poster
NH039. Scale Issues in Natural Hazard Risk Assessment, Communication, and Reduction II Posters
Wednesday, December 16 Poster NH039-0004. Modeling Future Flooding Extremes to Explore Unidentified Risks in the Arctic 4:00 am, Poster
B117. Emergent Behavior in the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle I
Wednesday, December 16 Oral B117-02. Impacts of including global vegetation demography and dynamic plant competition in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model 5:34 am, Virtual
Wednesday, December 16 Presentation B117-04. Midwest US croplands determine model divergence in North American carbon fluxes 5:42 am
Wednesday, December 16 Oral B117-05. The Historic Effect of CO2 on Global Photosynthesis 5:46 am, Virtual
GC123. High-Latitude Earth Systems: Their Local Responses to and Impacts on Global Climate Change I
Wednesday, December 16 Oral GC123-05. Drivers and Impacts of Southern Ocean Polynyas in High-Resolution Earth System Models 7:16 am
A235. Mechanisms Driving Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Melt I eLightning
Wednesday, December 16 Oral A235-08. Melt extent and melt volume attributed to distinct causal mechanisms 7:22 am, Virtual
GC124. High-Latitude Earth Systems: Their Local Responses to and Impacts on Global Climate Change II
Wednesday, December 16 Oral GC124-04. Source Attribution of Arctic Black Carbon and Sulfate Aerosols and Associated Arctic Surface Warming During 1980–2018 8:42 am, Virtual
Wednesday, December 16 Oral GC124-06. Sea Ice Climate of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model, Version 2 8:50 am, Virtual
A242. Cloud-Associated Observations, Properties, Processes, and Parameterizations I
Wednesday, December 16 Oral A242-02. Aerosol Indirect Effects on Ice and Mixed-phase Clouds based on Eight NSF Flight Campaigns and Climate Model Simulations 4:04 pm, Virtual
Wednesday, December 16 Oral A242-08. Using PPE simulations and parametric sensitivity analysis to better understand model physics and parameterization in E3SM atmosphere model over different cloud regimes 4:28 pm, Virtual
GC128. Urban Areas and Global Change I
Wednesday, December 16 Oral, Invited GC128-02. Urban environmental changes and its implications in the coupled human-nature system 5:34 pm, Virtual
H212. Advances in Representing Land Surface Heterogeneity and Subgrid Land–Atmosphere Processes in Earth System Models I eLightning
Wednesday, December 16 Oral H212-13. Assessing the effects of land surface heterogeneity on planetary boundary layer characteristics in E3SM 6:06 pm, Virtual
GC130. Urban Areas and Global Change II
Wednesday, December 16 Oral GC130-02. Where Should We Paint the Roof White? 7:04 pm, Virtual
GC129. Large-Scale Atmosphere–Ocean Dynamics of Climate Variability and Climate Change I
Wednesday, December 16 Oral, Invited GC129-04. A Partial Coupling Approach to Isolate the Roles of the Atmosphere and Ocean in Coupled Climate Interactions 7:12 pm, Virtual
H216. Global Floods: Forecasting, Monitoring, Risk Assessment, and Socioeconomic Response II
Wednesday, December 16 Oral H216-02. Changes in flood inundation characteristics in the future: impacts of current water management and flood control capacity on flood mitigation 8:34 pm, Virtual
A248. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons IV
Wednesday, December 16 Presentation A248-06. Correcting the Double-ITCZ Bias Dials down Future Precipitation over Mediterranean Climate Regions in North Hemisphere 8:50 pm
Thursday, December 17
H220. Hydrometeorologic Extremes: Prediction, Simulation, and Change I
Thursday, December 17 Oral H220-07. Seasonal Forecasting of Spatial, Coherent Floods in the Northeast United States using Climate Information for Flood Risk Assessment 4:24 am, Virtual
B128. Tropical Forests Under a Changing Environment II
Thursday, December 17 Presentation B128-07. Tropical forest vulnerability to ENSO induced extremes in a changing climate 5:54 am
H223. Coastal Hydrology I
Thursday, December 17 Oral H223-07. Integrated Terrestrial-Coastal Modeling System: DHSVM-FVCOM-RIFT 5:54 am, Virtual
NG013. When We Don’t Know Everything: Stochastic Approaches, Mathematical Physics, and Complexity Across the Earth System Sciences I
Thursday, December 17 Oral NG013-08. Improving Solution Accuracy and Convergence for Stochastic Physics Parameterizations with Colored Noise 5:58 am, Virtual
A254. Arctic and Midlatitude Linkage: Causes and Effects I
Thursday, December 17 Oral A254-06. How does the atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice decline compare to the full effect of the Arctic Amplification? 7:20 am, Virtual
Thursday, December 17 Oral A254-08. Opposite responses of the dry and moist eddy heat transport into the Arctic in the PAMIP experiments 7:28 am, Virtual