Biological and Environmental Research - Earth and Environmental System Sciences
Earth and Environmental System Modeling

AGU Fall Meeting 2021

Monday, December 13, 2021 - 08:00 to Friday, December 17, 2021 - 17:00
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"AGU Fall Meeting is the primary gathering for Earth and space scientists, students, and those in affiliated fields to share scientific findings and identify innovative solutions. With in-person and worldwide online participation, attendees will have numerous opportunities to network with government regulators, scientific visionaries, and industry thought-leaders. Join our diverse community in New Orleans and Online Everywhere."

The Fall Meeting is scheduled from December 13 to 17, both online and in New Orleans. Scientific program content will be available on-demand, with pre-recorded oral presentations and virtual posters available for attendees to view and peruse outside of the scheduled live Q&A sessions during the meeting. 

 

AGU Town Halls of Interest

A14C. AI in Weather and Climate Modeling: From Theoretical Advances to Operational Use I Oral
Oral, Invited A14C-07. Machine Learning-Based Feature Detection to Associate Precipitation Extremes with Synoptic Weather Events
A15K. Constraining Greenhouse Gas Exchange Processes Using Remote Sensing and in Situ Observations III Poster
Poster A15K-1790. Joint CO2 Mole Fraction and Flux Analysis Confirms Missing Processes in CASA Terrestrial Carbon Uptake over North America
A22F. Numerical Coupling of Atmospheric Processes in Current and Future Models: Challenges and Paths Forward I Oral
Oral A22F-06. Interpolation Semi-Lagrangian Element-Based Transport (Islet) with p-refinement for extremely high-resolution tracer transport
A33F. Process-Oriented Analysis of Cloud and Precipitation Physics I Oral
Oral, Invited A33F-04. Diagnosing cloud and precipitation processes at the individual cloud scale in E3SM’s global 3km convection permitting model
A45K. High-Resolution Earth System Modeling on Large Supercomputers II Poster
Poster A45K-1992. Evaluating the water cycle over CONUS using multiple metrics for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (E3SMv1) Across Resolutions
B55G. Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models II Poster
Poster B55G-1273. Temporal and spatial variation in modeled carbon-climate feedbacks: implications for future global land carbon source-sink dynamics
Poster B55G-1279. Impacts of the spatial heterogeneity of atmospheric CO2 concentration on carbon-climate feedbacks
Poster B55G-1281. GDESS: A Framework for Evaluating Simulated Atmospheric CO2 in Earth System Models
Poster B55G-1282. Diurnal rainfall response to the physiological and radiative effects of CO2 in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model v1 biogeochemistry experiments
Poster B55G-1282. Diurnal rainfall response to the physiological and radiative effects of CO2 in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model v1 biogeochemistry experiments
C11A. Modeling of the Cryosphere: Glaciers and Ice Sheets I Oral
Oral C11A-04. Modeling Ice-shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v2, a Variable Resolution, Global, Coupled Climate Model
GC15E. MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations V Poster
Poster GC15E-0734. Can property level flood losses be reliably predicted?
GC21B. Drought: Mechanisms and Impacts in the Past, Present, and Future I Oral
Oral GC21B-02. Separation of Deforestation, CO2 Physiology, and Radiative Contributions to Future Drought Stress in the Amazon
GC25D. Data and Modeling Advances Toward Sustainable Food-Energy-Water Development on a Manageable Scale II Poster
Poster GC25D-0689. Scalability of the Farmable Wetlands Program – existing program is only one piece of the puzzle in meeting nitrate reduction targets
GC43E. Environmental Changes and Human Migration: Advances in Modeling and Analysis I Oral
Oral GC43E-02. Adaptation to Human Heat Stress: The Role of Labor Migration, Economic Responses, and Land Use Changes
H35H. Advancing Flood Characterization, Modeling, and Communication VI Poster
Poster H35H-1124. How important is model calibration for improving flood hazard characterization?
IN21A. Accelerating Earth System Predictability: Advances in High-Performance Computing, Numerical Modeling, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning I Oral
Oral IN21A-02. High-order, property-preserving semi-Lagrangian tracer transport and physics-dynamics-grid remap in the E3SMv2 Atmosphere Model
Oral IN21A-02. High-order, property-preserving semi-Lagrangian tracer transport and physics-dynamics-grid remap in the E3SMv2 Atmosphere Model
Monday, December 13
GC11B. MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC11B-02. Human and Physical Systems Interactions in the Arctic: Early Results from the Interdisciplinary Research for Arctic Coastal Environments 8:10 am, Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC11B-04. Coevolution of future water, energy and land systems across the United States in response to national and global socioeconomic, climate, and energy policy drivers. 8:20 am, Convention Center - Room 206-207
A12D. Bridging the Gap From Climate to Extreme Weather: Observations, Theory, and Modeling I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral A12D-02. Detection and Attribution of Regional Precipitation Change with Granger Causality: Overcoming Limited Observations, Modeling Uncertainty, and Large Internal Variability 9:50 am, Convention Center - Room 278-279
GC12B. MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations II Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC12B-01. Characterizing Deep Uncertainties is Crucial to Improving Climate Risk Management 9:50 am, Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC12B-05. Characterizing Uncertainties in the Crop Switching Decision Problem for U.S. Agriculture 10:10 am, Convention Center - Room 206-207
B12B. Advances in Understanding Water-Energy-Carbon Interactions I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral B12B-07. CO2 fertilization effect on photosynthesis inferred from observations using optimization theories 10:20 am, Convention Center - Room 231-232
A13E. Causes and Consequences of Polar Amplification I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral A13E-05. Understanding the Cold Season Arctic Surface Warming Trend in Recent Decades 1:10 pm, Convention Center - Room 278-279
Monday, December 13 Oral A13E-10. A perspective on the role of ocean in Arctic Amplification 1:35 pm, Convention Center - Room 278-279
GC13B. MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations III Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral GC13B-05. Adaptation of Shipping Patterns in the Arctic: Modeling the Choice of Routing through a Changing Arctic Coastal Environments 1:10 pm, Convention Center - Room 206-207
H13A. Advances in Understanding Climate, Vegetation, Soil, Topographic, Precipitation Processes, and Their Subgrid-Scale Parameterization at the Watershed and Larger Scales III Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral H13A-07. A unified functional relationship between catchment water balance and vegetation productivity 1:15 pm, Convention Center - Room 243-245
Monday, December 13 Oral H13A-07. A unified functional relationship between catchment water balance and vegetation productivity 1:15 pm, Convention Center - Room 243-245
U13B. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I 6th Assessment Report: “Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis”
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-05. Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks 1:45 pm, Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-06. Short-Lived Climate Forcers 2:00 pm, Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited U13B-11. Chapter 11: Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate 3:45 pm, Convention Center - Great Hall, Prow Main Stage
GC14B. MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations IV Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GC14B-01. From storylines to anthologies – Systematically examining the implications of climate change on known weather extremes and their multisectoral impacts 2:35 pm, Convention Center - Room 206-207
Monday, December 13 Oral GC14B-07. Improving Urban Form Predictions to Improve Urban Microclimate Models. 3:05 pm, Convention Center - Room 206-207
NH14A. Advances in Fire Behavior Modeling I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral NH14A-04. Antecedent Hydrometeorological Conditions of Wildfire Occurrence in the Western U.S. 2:55 pm, Convention Center - Room 388-390
GH14B. Extreme Heat: Vulnerability and Risk Assessment, Exposure Assessment, and Policy Implications Regarding the Adverse Effect of Extreme Heat on Health, Economy, and Natural Resources I eLightning
Monday, December 13 Oral, Invited GH14B-09. Anthropogenic Heating of the Urban Environment under Extreme Heat Conditions 3:02 pm, Convention Center - eLightning Theater VI
NH14C. Humanitarian Response and Disaster Risk Management in the Age of Climate Change: The Need for Georeferenced Population and Infrastructure Data I Oral
Monday, December 13 Oral NH14C-10. Population Downscaling Using High-Resolution, Temporally-Rich U.S. Property Data 3:33 pm, Convention Center - Room 293
A15F. Atmospheric Aerosols and Their Interactions With Clouds, Radiation, and Climate on Regional Scale IV Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15F-1705. Examining the Roles of Biomass Burning Aerosols for Precipitation Decreases Over South America and Southeast Asia in 20th Century Earth System Model Simulations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A15H. Bridging the Gap From Climate to Extreme Weather: Observations, Theory, and Modeling II Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15H-1742. Detection and Attribution of Regional Precipitation Change with Granger Causality: Approaches to Short- and Long-Lived Climate Forcers 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster A15H-1746. Characterizing the size of Atmospheric Rivers using a perspective independent from the detection algorithm 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster A15H-1747. Contrasting Windy and Wet Atmospheric Rivers: Characteristics and Variability 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster A15H-1759. Impact of Plant CO2 Physiological Forcing on Extreme Heat and Humidity Events 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A15L. Extratropical and High-Latitude Storm Tracks, Circulation Dynamics, and Extreme Events in the Context of Rapidly Changing Arctic and Antarctic Climate III Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster A15L-1804. Increasing Large Wildfires over the Western United States Linked to Diminishing Sea Ice in the Arctic 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B15C. The Resilience and Vulnerability of Arctic and Boreal Ecosystems to Climate Change VI Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster B15C-1434. Evidence for the importance of dispersal and fire on Arctic shrub expansion 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B15D. Advances in Understanding Water-Energy-Carbon Interactions II Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster B15D-1467. Evaluating the Influence of CO2 Plant Physiological Effects on Flood Potential in Future Climate 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC15E. MultiSector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations V Poster
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0735. Exploring the consistency of inferred water shortage vulnerabilities using rival framings of adaptive demands in a multi-actor, multi-sector river basin 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0740. Addressing uncertainty in MultiSector Dynamics research: an eBook guide for novice and experienced modelers 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Monday, December 13 Poster GC15E-0748. Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14
GC21A. Upcoming Climate Change: Insights Into Predictions, Consequences, Extreme Risks, Mitigation, and Adaptation I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC21A-02. Clarifying the near-term anthropogenic warming rate by filtering annual variability using a physics based Green’s function approach 8:08 am, Convention Center - Room 208-210
B21C. Coastal Wetland Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles: Recent Advances in Measurements, Modeling, and Syntheses I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral B21C-03. Modeling Salinity and Flooding Impacts on Methane Production across Submerging Deltaic Wetlands 8:25 am, Convention Center - Room 231-232
GC22A. Upcoming Climate Change: Insights Into Predictions, Consequences, Extreme Risks, Mitigation, and Adaptation II Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC22A-03. Examination of the accelerated rate of Arctic sea ice decline in CMIP6 historical simulations 9:59 am, Convention Center - Room 208-210
GC22D. MultiSector Dynamics: Convergent Approaches for Environmental Change, Resilience, and Society in Urban Areas I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral GC22D-04. Optimal Resolution Urban Terrain Inputs to Microclimate Modeling for Local Climate Decision Support 10:05 am, Convention Center - Room 206-207
H22C. Groundwater Response to Climate Change and Variability I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral H22C-05. Groundwater Storage during Snow Drought Events: Responses to Changing Climate over Western United States 10:05 am, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater A
A22F. Numerical Coupling of Atmospheric Processes in Current and Future Models: Challenges and Paths Forward I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A22F-08. An Error Analysis Framework for Process Coupling in Atmospheric Models 10:18 am, Convention Center - Room 278-279
A23C. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates II Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A23C-06. The Relationship Between Vertical Velocity and Extreme Precipitation 1:10 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A23C-08. Thermodynamic and Dynamic Contributions to Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Increases in Observations and Models 1:20 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
A24F. Lagrangian and Climatological Transitions of Warm Boundary Layer Clouds I Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral, Invited A24F-01. The Differing Responses of Marine Boundary Layer Clouds to Climate Warming 2:34 pm, Convention Center - Room 278-279
SY24B. Science to Action: Decision Makers Staying Afloat Rather Than Drowning in Big Climate Data I eLightning
Tuesday, December 14 Oral SY24B-04. Ways to Navigate the Clean Energy Transition in a Changing Climate 2:39 pm, Online Only
Tuesday, December 14 Oral SY24B-05. Climate-aware Decision-making: Lessons for Electric Grid Infrastructure Planning and Operations 2:42 pm, Online Only
A24B. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates III Oral
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A24B-05. Accounting for storm dependence in trend analysis of in situ measurements of daily precipitation extremes 2:50 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A24B-08. Large Scale Meteorological Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation Events Over Northern California 3:05 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Tuesday, December 14 Oral A24B-08. Large Scale Meteorological Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation Events Over Northern California 3:05 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
U24A. Resilience of Arctic Infrastructure and Its Social Impacts
Tuesday, December 14 Oral U24A-02. Complicating Resilience in a Global Arctic: Energy Infrastructures at a Precarious Juncture 2:55 pm, Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
Tuesday, December 14 Oral U24A-02. Complicating Resilience in a Global Arctic: Energy Infrastructures at a Precarious Juncture 2:55 pm, Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
A25D. Atmospheric Convection: Processes, Dynamics, and Links to Weather and Climate IV Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25D-1714. Vertically-Resolved Moist Static Energy Diagnosis on the Development of Tropical Cyclones 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A25H. Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates IV Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25H-1782. Object-based analysis of fronts and frontal precipitation in climate datasets 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A25N. Numerical Coupling of Atmospheric Processes in Current and Future Models: Challenges and Paths Forward II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25N-1859. Extreme Supersaturation in E3SMv1 and CESM2 Simulations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25N-1860. A flexible online diagnostic tool for understanding and evaluating process interactions in the E3SM Atmosphere Model (EAM) 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A25R. Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability V Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster A25R-1910. The role and timescale of the moisture-entrainment-convection feedback in Spontaneous TC genesis 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B25C. Coastal Wetland Carbon and Nitrogen Cycles: Recent Advances in Measurements, Modeling, and Syntheses II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster B25C-1470. Representing coastal wetland vegetation responses to salinity in Earth system models 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B25G. Carbon Monitoring Systems Research and Applications III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster B25G-1551. Towards robust modeling and upscaling of wetland CH4 emission using FLUXNET-CH4 dataset, remote sensing and machine learning 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B25O. Regional Budgets, Trends, and Drivers of Major Greenhouse Gases (N<sub>2</sub>O, CH<sub>4</sub>, and CO<sub>2</sub>) III Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster B25O-04. Representing Riverine Dissolved Organic Carbon in an Earth System Model 4:00 pm, Online Only
GC25K. MultiSector Dynamics: Convergent Approaches for Environmental Change, Resilience, and Society in Urban Areas II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25K-0760. An Agent-based Model of Coastal Urban Development in the Greater Baltimore Region 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC25L. MultiSector Dynamics: Energy-Water-Land Interactions at Multiple Scales II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25L-0768. A new global water management module: Distributed vs. Lumped representations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC25M. MultiSector Dynamics: MultiSector Impacts of Energy Transitions II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25M-0782. TELL: A Python Package for Predicting the Short- and Long-Term Evolution of Total Electricity Loads in the United States 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25M-0787. Exploring the Impact of Multisectoral and Multiscale Constraints and Opportunities on Power Plant Siting with the Capacity Expansion Regional Feasibility (CERF) Model 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25M-0789. Role of energy storage in US capacity expansion pathways with improved modeling of power sector dynamics 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC25P. Drivers and Mechanisms of Terrestrial Water Cycle Changes at Global and Regional Scales II Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster GC25P-02. Attribution of snowpack errors to simulated temperature and precipitation in four CMIP6 models over the contiguous United States 4:00 pm, Online Only
H25D. Assessment of Hurricane Impacts on Watershed Hydrology and Water Quality Under Changing Climate Using Various Data-Model and Field Measurement Approaches I Poster
Tuesday, December 14 Poster H25D-1085. Machine Learning of Key Drivers of Extreme Precipitation in Various Regions of the Contiguous US 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Wednesday, December 15
B33B. Integrating Biological Components in Biogeochemical Models: Toward Improving Global Circulation Model Representations of Methane Emissions I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral, Invited B33B-02. Representing Explicit Microbial and Plant Process in Wetland Biogeochemical Models 12:56 pm, Convention Center - Room 255-257
OS33A. Advances in Observationally Integrated Earth System Modeling for Coastal Environments I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral OS33A-02. Sensitivity of compound flooding potential to idealized large-scale tropical cyclone environments 12:57 pm, Convention Center - Room 223
Wednesday, December 15 Oral OS33A-02. Sensitivity of compound flooding potential to idealized large-scale tropical cyclone environments 12:57 pm, Convention Center - Room 223
A33F. Process-Oriented Analysis of Cloud and Precipitation Physics I Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral A33F-06. Constraints on extratropical cloud feedback through moisture source and sink processes decrease likelihood of very high and very low climate sensitivity 1:10 pm, Online Only
H33A. Advances in Urban Hydrology II Oral
Wednesday, December 15 Oral H33A-08. Revealing the below-ground mystery: a new framework for estimating Urban Stormwater Networks across watershed, regional and larger scales 1:30 pm, Convention Center - Room 243-245
B34D. The Resilience and Vulnerability of Arctic and Boreal Ecosystems to Climate Change V eLightning
Wednesday, December 15 Oral B34D-06. Combining new advances in modeling dynamic vegetation and nutrient competition to improve boreal forest predictions to changing climate 2:50 pm, Convention Center - eLightning Theater IV
A35K. General Session: Atmospheric Physics, Radiation, Clouds, and Aerosols III Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster A35K-1817. Impact of new particle formation on the anthropogenic aerosol forcing estimate in E3SM 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A35P. Process-Based Testing and Evaluation of Weather and Climate Models I Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster A35P-1858. Implementation and Evaluation of the triple-moment P3 microphysical scheme in E3SM 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A35S. Process-Oriented Analysis of Cloud and Precipitation Physics II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster A35S-07. Evaluating climate models' cloud feedbacks against expert judgement 4:00 pm, Online Only
B35E. Gas Fluxes From and Into Inland and Coastal Waters: Integrating Hydrodynamics and Biogeochemistry II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35E-1473. Validation and sensitivity analysis of lake methane dynamics in Energy Exascale Earth System Model 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B35G. Integrating Biological Components in Biogeochemical Models: Toward Improving Global Circulation Model Representations of Methane Emissions II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35G-1496. Functional-type modeling approach and data-driven parameterization of methane emissions in wetlands 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B35H. The Global Methane Cycle II Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35H-1512. Monthly estimates of global freshwater wetland methane emissions for 2001-2018 from upscaled eddy covariance fluxes 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Wednesday, December 15 Poster B35H-1513. Multi-model ensemble does not fill the gaps in sparse wetland methane observations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC35I. Improving the Nation’s Capacity to Understand and Respond to a Changing Coastline I Poster
Wednesday, December 15 Poster GC35I-0782. Convergence of Multisector Dynamics (Human) and Natural Systems in Coastal Environments 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16
GC41C. Renewable Energy: Wind I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited GC41C-01. Could/will climate change impact wind energy resources? 8:05 am, Convention Center - Room 208-210
U41A. Modeling MultiSector Dynamics to Understand Adaptive Pathways
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited U41A-01. A Vision for the MultiSector Dynamics Research Community 8:08 am, Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited U41A-03. Storylines as a tool for advancing co-production of science and informing climate adaptation pathways: A perspective from the U.S. DOE HyperFACETS Project 8:48 am, Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited U41A-03. Storylines as a tool for advancing co-production of science and informing climate adaptation pathways: A perspective from the U.S. DOE HyperFACETS Project 8:48 am, Convention Center - Hall D-2, First Floor
A41D. CMIP6 Climate Model Evaluation I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A41D-04. Differential Credibility of Climate Modes in CMIP6 8:15 am, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
Thursday, December 16 Oral A41D-06. Uniting Extratropical Cyclone Tracking and Self-Organizing Maps to Objectively Evaluate CMIP6 Models 8:25 am, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
H42B. Integrated Soil Modeling Through Machine Learning and Data Analytics I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral H42B-01. Representing global soil erosion and sediment flux in Earth System Models 9:50 am, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater B
GC42A. Deep Learning for Climate Science and Weather Prediction I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC42A-03. Credibility Evaluation of a Convolutional Neural Net for Downscaling GCM Output over the Southern Great Plains 10:00 am, Convention Center - Room 203-205
A43B. Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral, Invited A43B-01. An Underestimated Negative Cloud Feedback from Cloud Lifetime Changes 12:45 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
H43D. Next-Generation Water Resources Modeling: Innovation at the Intersection of Domain, Computer, and Data Sciences I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral H43D-02. Open Source and Performant Hydrological Modeling in Python: mosartwmpy, a Case Study 12:50 pm, Convention Center - Room 271-273
A43D. High-Resolution Earth System Modeling on Large Supercomputers I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A43D-03. Philosophy and Progress of the Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model 12:55 pm, Convention Center - Room 278-279
GC43A. Accounting for Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Climate Models I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC43A-03. Spatial distribution of C3 and C4 vegetation from 2000 to 2019 in the contiguous U.S. 1:00 pm, Convention Center - Room 208-210
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC43A-06. A global land data system to provide variable high-resolution spatial products 1:15 pm, Convention Center - Room 208-210
Thursday, December 16 Oral GC43A-06. A global land data system to provide variable high-resolution spatial products 1:15 pm, Convention Center - Room 208-210
H44B. Coastal Hydrology: Physical and Biogeochemical Processes I Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral H44B-02. Impact of coastal marsh eco-geomorphologic change on the prediction of saltwater intrusion under future sea level rise 2:35 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater B
A44B. Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks: Advances and New Paradigms II Oral
Thursday, December 16 Oral A44B-04. On the Correspondence between Atmosphere-Only and Coupled Simulations for Radiative Feedbacks and Forcing from CO2 2:45 pm, Convention Center - New Orleans Theater C
A45K. High-Resolution Earth System Modeling on Large Supercomputers II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45K-1998. Improving Lake Representations in Earth System Modeling 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45K-2006. The Influence of Ocean Coupling on Simulated and Projected Tropical Cyclone Precipitation in the HighResMIP–PRIMAVERA Simulations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A45O. Modeling Across Scales From Global to Convection-Permitting: Weather, Climate, and Air Quality II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45O-2047. How Does an Improved Representation of Convection Affect Future Air Quality in the Community Earth System Model? 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A45Q. Observation and Model Studies of Cloud Properties and Associated Processes II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45Q-2082. A Storm-Resolving Data Set for Analysis of Precipitation at its Native Scale, Diagnosis of Cloud-Resolving Models, and Development of Next-Generation Parameterizations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A45V. Understanding and Modeling of Mesoscale and Severe Local Convective Storm Processes II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster A45V-2153. Climatological occurrences of hail and tornado associated with mesoscale convective systems in the United States 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B45D. Tropical Forests Under a Changing Environment III Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster B45D-1655. Evaluation and Parametric Sensitivity of the Nutrient Enabled Ecosystem Model FATES-ELM at a Tropical Testbed 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B45G. New Advances in Land Carbon Cycle Modeling II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster B45G-1703. Integrating Redox and Soil Geochemical Interactions with Carbon Cycling in a Land Surface Model 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
ED45B. Bright STaRS: Bright Students Training as Research Scientists Poster Session I Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster ED45B-0689. Relationship Between Socioeconomic Factors and the Built Environment of a City: A Case Study of Las Vegas, Nevada 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC45F. Deep Learning for Climate Science and Weather Prediction II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45F-0868. Deep Learning Experiments for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC45G. Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45G-0881. Detecting Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas and Aerosol Influences on the Observed Changes in Extreme Temperatures during 1951-2015 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45G-0889. Real-time attribution of anthropogenically-driven coastal flooding 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC45K. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Weather and Climate Models I Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0934. Detailing cloud feedbacks with a regime-based decomposition 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0937. Process-oriented diagnosis of tropical cyclones based on the moist static energy variance budget in reanalyses and high-resolution climate models 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0939. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Madden-Julian Oscillation 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45K-0939. Process-Oriented Diagnostics for Madden-Julian Oscillation 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC45M. Renewable Energy: Wind II Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster GC45M-0957. Wind power production from the U.S. east coast offshore lease areas 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
H45B. Advances in Modeling Hydrometeorological Extremes and Adaptation for a Resilient Society III Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster H45B-1194. Pooling Data Improves Multimodel IDF Estimates over Median-Based IDF Estimates: Analysis over the Susquehanna and Florida 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
H45Z. Hydrometeorologic Extremes: Prediction, Simulation, and Change IV Poster
Thursday, December 16 Poster H45Z-06. Impact of tropical cyclones on hydrological extremes in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States: 1950‒2019 4:00 pm, Online Only
Friday, December 17
A51H. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons V eLightning
Friday, December 17 Oral A51H-07. A Distinct Atmospheric Mode for California Precipitation 8:18 am, Convention Center - eLightning Theater II
Friday, December 17 Oral A51H-07. A Distinct Atmospheric Mode for California Precipitation 8:18 am, Convention Center - eLightning Theater II
A51G. The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Waves in the Tropics: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A51G-06. Energetics of the Convectively Coupled Equatorial Kelvin waves 8:25 am, Convention Center - Room 283-285
IN52A. Advancing Open Science: Stewardship to Enable Cross-Disciplinary, Collaborative Science I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral IN52A-02. Ten Recommendations to Overcome Barriers to Adopting Open Science Principles 9:53 am, Convention Center - Room 288-290
A52E. Large Ensemble Climate Model Simulations as Tools for Exploring Natural Variability, Change Signals, and Impacts I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A52E-02. Physical drivers of increased interannual variability of precipitation in the Multi Model Large Ensemble Archive 10:00 am, Convention Center - Room 280-282
GC52C. Social and Ecological Consequences of Recent Changes in the Arctic and Subarctic Region I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral GC52C-03. Linking Climate Change and Human Systems: A Case Study of Arctic Pipelines 10:00 am, Convention Center - Room 208-210
GC52A. Compounding Climate Extremes: Mechanisms, Diagnostics, and Current and Future Impacts II Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral GC52A-08. The Non-Linear Response of Rain-on-snow Floods to a Warming World: Perspectives from High-Resolution Storyline Simulations 10:25 am, Convention Center - Room 206-207
A53E. Regional Climate: Modeling, Analysis, and Impacts I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited A53E-01. Prioritizing GCMs for Regional Dynamical Downscaling 12:45 pm, Convention Center - Room 280-282
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited A53E-01. Prioritizing GCMs for Regional Dynamical Downscaling 12:45 pm, Convention Center - Room 280-282
Friday, December 17 Oral A53E-06. Evaluation of Dynamical Downscaling in a Fully Coupled Regional Earth System Model 1:25 pm, Convention Center - Room 280-282
A53G. The Dynamics of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation in Past, Present, and Future Climate: Jet Streams, Storm Tracks, Stationary Waves, and Monsoons I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral A53G-04. Constraining Future Projections of Atmospheric Rivers using Moist Static Energy Transport 1:00 pm, Convention Center - Room 275-277
GC53B. Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited GC53B-04. Climate Change Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Throughout Hurricane Season 1:15 pm, Convention Center - Room 206-207
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited GC53B-04. Climate Change Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Throughout Hurricane Season 1:15 pm, Convention Center - Room 206-207
B54C. Improving Earth System Predictability: New Mechanisms, Feedbacks, and Approaches for Predicting Global Biogeochemical Cycles in Earth System Models I Oral
Friday, December 17 Oral, Invited B54C-01. Metrics, Measurements, and Methods for Advancing Ecosystem Model Evaluation 2:32 pm, Convention Center - Room 231-232
Friday, December 17 Oral B54C-06. Looking under the hood: benchmarking soil organic matter pool distributions at the global-scale 3:07 pm, Convention Center - Room 231-232
A55C. Advanced Methods for Systematic Evaluation and Improvement of Earth System Models II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster A55C-1393. Comprehensive model evaluation to maximize utility to model developers, scientists and stakeholders: Towards Coordinated Model Evaluation Capabilities 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A55N. Large Ensemble Climate Model Simulations as Tools for Exploring Natural Variability, Change Signals, and Impacts III Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster A55N-1593. Influence of Natural Variability on Simulated Changes in Arctic Permafrost 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A55U. The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Waves in the Tropics: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction III Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1706. Large-scale convective systems identified by hybrid cloud-precipitation regimes and their modulations by MJO and QBO 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1709. A proposed model intercomparison study to evaluate the role of SST variability on MJO eastward propagation in climate models 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1709. A proposed model intercomparison study to evaluate the role of SST variability on MJO eastward propagation in climate models 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1713. The role of ocean coupling on MJO simulation in the CMIP6 models 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1716. Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1716. Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
Friday, December 17 Poster A55U-1721. Seasonal locking of the MJO’s southward detouring of Indonesia caused by the Australian monsoon 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
B55F. Emergent Behavior in Terrestrial Ecosystems II Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster B55F-1264. Global variation in ecosystem carbon use efficiency derived from eddy covariance observations 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
GC55G. Mid-Latitude Air-Sea Interaction and Inter-Basin Teleconnections Under Changing Climate I Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster GC55G-0494. Understanding the drivers of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability using a stochastic model 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
H55J. Diagnostics, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Analysis of Earth and Environmental Models IV Poster
Friday, December 17 Poster H55J-0847. Key Uncertainties Differ When Characterizing Flood Hazards Versus Risks 4:00 pm, Convention Center - Poster Hall, D-F
A55A. Addressing Challenges for the Next Generation of Earth System Models I eLightning
Friday, December 17 Oral A55A-09. An Assessment of Nonhydrostatic and Hydrostatic Dynamical Cores at Seasonal Time Scales in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1) 4:24 pm, Convention Center - eLightning Theater II